Traders have built the largest long US Equity Futures position in history, now worth more than $300 Billion
Source: Stocktwits
It doesn’t matter who becomes president. The trend is clear:
More debt creation, more money printing Source: Seek Wiser, Quinten | 048.eth
😱 US JOB MARKET IS MUCH WEAKER THAN IT SEEMS 😱
Since January 2023, the number of jobs have been revised DOWN by A MASSIVE 471,000, the most since the 2008 Financial Crisis. Monthly nonfarm payrolls have been revised DOWNWARD in 14 out of the last 21 months. Source: Global Markets Investor
US employment numbers are out... and what a miss... 😱
🚨 It is indeed a confusing US jobs report with ugly headline numbers. US economy added just 12k jobs, according to Establishment Survey, far below consensus forecast of +100k and down from +223k in September. 🚨 Private payrolls were negative 28k, below the Street’s +70k forecast and down from +192k in September. 🌪 August was revised down by 81,000, from +159,000 to +78,000, 🌪 September was revised down by 31,000, from +254,000 to +223,000 👉 Odds of a 25 bps Fed cut next week increase per SOFR. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
US equities Bull markets go on longer than many of us think they will.
Source: Carson, RBC
U.S. Dollar dominates global payment network swift
Source: Statista
🚨US FEDERAL DEBT IS SKYROCKETING🚨
The US public debt just hit another RECORD of $35.8 TRILLION. In less than a month, the total debt SPIKED by $700 BILLION. This is $23 BILLION A DAY. To make things worse, these forecasts assume lower interest rates over the next year... Source: Global Markets Investor
The US public debt situation is going to get worse:
US net interest payments as a share of GDP are expected to reach a record 4.6% next year. That would more than DOUBLE World War 2 levels and exceed the all-time highs seen in the 1990s. This is also much higher than net interest as a % of GDP in all 38 OECD countries. Countries with relatively high interest such as Greece, Ireland, Spain, and Portugal are expected to reach interest-to-GDP ratios that are HALF the size of the US. To make things worse, these forecasts assume lower interest rates over the next year. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, OECD, Tavi Costa
