Another day, another AI scare.
A Citrini blog post titled “The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis” triggered another AI-driven selloff in US equities on Monday. The Goldman Sachs Software At Risk Basket fell 6% yesterday and is now down 33% year to date. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Credit card stocks down big based on Citrini Research says AI agents will eventually transact on Stablecoin payment rails and bypass interchange.
Visa -4.4% Mastercard -6.3% American Express -7.9% Capital One -8.0% Source: Bearly AI @bearlyai
The Fwd P/E of the Tech sector is now at PAR with Consumer Staples.
In other words, the market is now valuing Tech at the same multiple as boring/slow growth Staples companies. That has only happened 3 times in the last 7 years: COVID, the 2022 Bear Market, and Liberation Day. Source: David Marlin
Here’s a mental framework by InvestingVisual on the software universe.
The market keeps selling off high quality names. Not all software is created equal, but the market is treating it like that. Some buying opportunities?
Yesterday, rising anxiety over the impact of AI disruption on multiple sectors resurfaced
exacerbated by a note from Citrini Research that was passed around getting over 20mm views, saying nothing new but re-highlighting the potential impact on jobs and tech firms in the next few years... “The sole intent of this piece is modeling a scenario that’s been relatively underexplored,” a preface to the article, which was published Sunday, said. “Hopefully, reading this leaves you more prepared for potential left tail risks as AI makes the economy increasingly weird.” Investors, once again, dumped shares of any company seen at the slightest risk of being displaced which lead Goldman's AI-at-Risk basket fell to its lowest since Nov 2016... Since: Bloomberg, zerohedge
Commercials are extremely Net-Short Bitcoin.
Large Speculators are extremely Net-Long. Prior cases marked bottoming processes for Bitcoin $BTC Will it be the case this time? Source: Subu trade
The future of IT is AUTONOMOUS.
Source: Vala Afshar @ValaAfshar
Looking for some squeeze opportunities?
Here are the highest short interest stocks with a market cap of more than $25 billion. Top five are $MSTR, $CHTR, $CRWV, $CVOIN and $KMB Source: Markets & Mayhem @Mayhem4Markets Goldman Sachs
