➡️ Our Global M2 proxy continues to point to supportive liquidity dynamics for risk assets in the weeks ahead.
➡️ The link between our Global M2 proxy and the Bitcoin continues to hold remarkably well and to point to still more short-term upside potential for the BTC. ➡️ Interestingly, our Global M2 proxy suggests a pause in the upward trend for Equities and Bitcoin in the second half of June (taking into account the 10-week lag). But the recent resuming of the M2 upward trend, if extended, would point to a resuming of positive market dynamic for July. NB: This is NOT an investment recommendation. Liquidity is one among the numerous indicators that need to be considered Source: Syz Research
According to the aggregate strategic asset allocation of family offices published in the latest UBS Global Family Office Report, gold is NOT a crowded trade, far from it...
I don't see an allocation to bitcoin either by the way. file:///C:/Users/cmonchau/Downloads/global-family-office-report-desktop2025.pdf
🚨We've seen a HUGE reversion to the mean so far this year with Eurozone stocks UP 24% and International stocks overall are UP 14% while the S&P 500 is DOWN 1%.
This comes after 16+ years of US outperformance, the longest run in history. Source: Charlie Bilello
The new trade on Wall Street: T.A.C.O (Trump Always Chickens Out)
Stocks and bonds retreated last week as fiscal & trade worries resurface. Over the week-end, Trump agreed to delay the date for a 50% tariff on goods from the EU to July 9 from June 1. This morning, US Stock Futures are spiking ("The T.A.C.O trade" idea comes from a tweet on X by HolgerZ)
Right smack in the middle of a 5 year channel...
Which side gets tested next? Source: Trend Spider
The best performing stocks in the SP500 this year....
Source: Charlie Bilello
The flood of German trans-shipments to Russia continues unabated.
It has been 3 years now. Will the government do something about it? Source: Robin Brooks
APPLE, TESLA, NVIDIA—NOW TRADING ON THE BLOCKCHAIN Kraken is launching tokenized stocks—starting with Apple, Tesla, Nvidia, and the S&P 500—on Solana.
Buy, sell, or hold them like crypto. No broker. No weekends. No borders. U.S. users are locked out, but overseas investors get 24/7 Wall Street with a DeFi twist. It's called xStocks. Just don’t forget: the SEC’s watching, and Binance tried this in 2021. It didn’t end well. Source: WSJ thru Mario Nawfal on X
