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The trade-weighted tariff on swiss exports to the us is close to 20% - not 39%.
Indeed, as discussed in this article by NZZ, medicines and most gold imports are currently exempt from Trump's tariffs. Therefore, the 39% punitive tariff is likely to affect less than half of all Swiss goods exports to the United States. On a trade-weighted basis, the tariff rate for Switzerland would thus be around 20%. The main victims would be watch manufacturers and other companies in the mechanical engineering, electrical and metal industries. Link to the article: https://lnkd.in/esu_XvFM
Donald Trump has nominated Stephen Miran to fill a soon-to-be vacant seat on the Federal Reserve’s board of governors.
Miran, chair of the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers, will take the seat vacated by Adriana Kugler, who is leaving the central bank on Friday, months before her term was set to end in January. The president said in a Truth Social post on Thursday that Miran would serve through to the end of January as the administration continues its search for a “permanent replacement” to fill the seat. The seat would give Miran a vote on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee, where he is seen as likely to support Trump’s calls for aggressive interest rate cuts. It is expected that Trump will eventually use the seat to nominate a replacement for Jay Powell, whose term as Fed chair ends in May 2026, but who could serve as a governor until the end of January 2028. Miran will need to be confirmed by the Senate for the role. The Senate approved his appointment to the CEA by 53 votes to 46. The hashtag#Fed declined to comment. Source: FT
President Trump signs executive order to allow Bitcoin and crypto in 401(k)s.
Source: Finviz
2007: Airbnb was an idea. 2025: $45 million in revenue a day.
Source: Jon Erlichman
The US has slapped tariffs on imports of one-kilo gold bars, in a move that threatens to upend the global bullion market and deal a fresh blow to Switzerland, the world’s largest refining hub.
The Customs Border Protection agency said one-kilo and 100 ounce gold bars should be classified under a customs code subject to levies, according to a so-called ruling letter dated July 31, which was seen by the Financial Times. Ruling letters are used by the US to clarify its trade policy. The CBP’s decision stands in sharp contrast with the industry’s previous expectations that these types of gold bars should be classified using a different customs code that is exempt from Trump’s countrywide tariffs. Here are some interesting comments by EndGame Macro on X 👇 : 🔴 This 39% tariff on 1 kilogram and 100 ounce gold bars from Switzerland is a calculated move with immediate market consequences. The July 31 U.S. Customs ruling reclassified these bars, the exact formats COMEX accepts for delivery into a tariffed category. That’s critical because Switzerland is the world’s largest gold refining hub, and a substantial share of the physical gold that underpins COMEX futures flows from there. ‼️ Within hours of the news, premiums for New York gold futures jumped above the spot price, signaling that deliverable supply into the U.S. market had abruptly tightened. Swiss refiners have already slowed or halted shipments, further compounding the squeeze. 👉 At its core, this is about LEVERAGE and STRATEGIC POSITIONING. The U.S. is applying pressure on Switzerland while giving domestic refiners a direct pricing advantage in kilo and 100 ounce formats. That could lock in a higher New York futures premium even if global spot prices hold steady. By effectively capping imports of these bar types, the move raises the stakes for COMEX short sellers, whose ability to source bars for delivery just got more complicated. Alternative routes such as shipping 400 ounce bars to London for recasting in the U.S., or rerouting through non Swiss refineries will take time, limiting throughput in the interim. 👉 The longer game may be less about tariffs for revenue and more about WEAPONIONZING the gold market, creating a controlled squeeze in the very bar formats that drive global futures pricing. It pressures the Swiss refining system, reasserts New York as the central arena for price discovery, and ensures that if gold is going to play a larger role in the future global monetary system, it will do so on U.S. terms. In a year when gold is already up on macroeconomic concerns, a politically engineered choke point like this can actively shift where and how the world’s benchmark gold price is set. Source: FT, EndGame Macro
The US Bond Market has now been in a drawdown for over 5 years, by far the longest in history.
Source: Charlie Bilello
Gold hits new record high
News: Trump wants to tariff imported gold bars. Premiums for New York gold futures jumped above the spot price, signaling that deliverable supply into the U.S. market had abruptly tightened. Swiss refiners have already slowed or halted shipments, further compounding the squeeze. By effectively capping imports of these bar types, the move raises the stakes for COMEX short sellers, whose ability to source bars for delivery just got more complicated. Stay tune Source: The Coastal Journal, Endgame Macro on X
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