BREAKING >>> Powell says inflation is still too high and lower economic growth is likely needed to bring it down
US 10-year is just 3bp shy of 5%... Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged recent signs of cooling inflation, but said Thursday that the slowing in price increases was not enough yet to determine a trend and that the central bank would be “resolute” in its commitment to its 2% mandate. “Inflation is still too high, and a few months of good data are only the beginning of what it will take to build confidence that inflation is moving down sustainably toward our goal,” Powell said in prepared remarks for his speech at the Economic Club of New York. “We cannot yet know how long these lower readings will persist, or where inflation will settle over coming quarters.” Source: CNBC, Ole S.Hansen, Bloomberg, Saxo
This is the first time since 2000 that Treasury Bills are yielding higher than the S&P 500 earnings yield
Even during the 2008 Financial Crisis, cash never yielded higher than S&P 500 earnings. And the gap between the SP500 earnings yield and cash is widening. Competition from cash and bond yields versus stocks keeps rising. For a USD-reference account investor, here's the median Return by Asset Class: 1. High Yield Savings Accounts: 5.5% 2. 6-Month Treasury Bill Yield: 5.0% 3. Investment Property Cap Rate: 4.5% 4. S&P 500 Earnings Yield: 4.2% Bottomm-line: Cash and Treasury Bills are now paying a HIGHER yield than real estate and the S&P 500. In other words, risky assets are paying less than risk-free assets, i.e taking a risk is compensated LESS than just holding cash. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Italy budget deficit by Robin Brooks ->
Monthly data on Italy's fiscal balance are volatile, but the September 2023 budget deficit is the largest ever...
Amazing chart about Canada housing market (on the right) vs. US housing market (on the left).
Source: Michel A.Arouet
Analysts’ earnings downgrades for US companies are increasingly outpacing upgrades
Source: The Daily Shot
In-demand skills 2023
Source: Contrarian Thinking
🌍Worldwide, many other countries have debt that is more than their GDP
Japan consistently ranks among the top nations with a debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 200%. Source: Genuine Impact
To whom the US owes money? Mostly to themselves actually...
Source: The King's Cheque En Qua
