Trump is inheriting a Federal Reserve w/ not only unprecedented losses of $218 billion, but it's still losing money;
the Fed won't send the Treasury a dime for the entirety of Trump's term; that's never happened since the inception of the Fed - another challenge for Trump... Source: E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. @RealEJAntoni
The ECB shields high debt countries from bond market crises via the combined effect of past interventions and its TPI anti-fragmentation tool.
Underlying assumption is that high debt countries will do what it takes to bring down debt without crises. That assumption is wrong... - Robin Brooks on X
The fourth quarter earnings season is longer than the others because companies need to complete their year-end numbers and get signed off on by the auditors.
Therefore, only half of those S&P 500 $SPY companies expected to report in February have scheduled earnings yet, so look for those right bars to get bigger. That said, we have a pretty good look at the next few weeks. This week will still be mostly about the Financials $XLF, but we’ll begin to get Industrials $XLI reporting too. source : earningswhisper
$NVDA: The Driving Force Behind the S&P 500’s 2024 Rally
NVIDIA’s incredible 170% gain in 2024 has played a pivotal role in the market’s performance, contributing to over 20% of the S&P 500’s return. source : BofA, Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT, MBA
Surprise surprise...
energy has been by far the best-performing sector during the Biden administration. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
An update on Germany snap election:
the conservative support has slipped below 30% ahead of the February election. Friedrich Merz’s center-right CDU/CSU alliance leads with 29% in the latest Insa survey, down one point from last week. The AfD also dropped by one point to 21%, while support for Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD) and the Greens remains steady at 16% and 13%, respectively. 👉 As it stands, a so-called grand coalition between the CDU/CSU and SPD appears to be the most likely outcome Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
A shocking chart
Source: Willem Middelkoop @wmiddelkoop on X
The trend is your friend...
The Nasdaq 100 has closed above its 200-day moving average for 466 consecutive trading days, the 2nd longest uptrend in history. $NDX Source: Charlie Biello
