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14 Oct 2024

😱 The shocking chart of the day: US consumers' inflation expectations for the next 5-10 years skyrocketed to 7.1% in October, the highest in over 40 years.😱

This metric has DOUBLED in just several months, according to the University of Michigan Consumer Survey. To put this into perspective, median inflation expectations have been at ~3% for the last 3 years. Consumer sentiment has been severely damaged by rising prices of necessities, and expectations are getting worse. This comes as core CPI inflation has been above 3% for 41 months, the longest streak since the early 1990s. Inflation is still a major concern for Americans. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

11 Oct 2024

$NVDA 🚨BREAKING🚨 Nvidia's Blackwell chip is sold out for the next 12 months!

In a meeting with Morgan Stanley, Nvidia executives revealed that the Blackwell chip is sold out for the next 12 months. Morgan Stanley predicts Nvidia's market share will continue to grow in 2025. Source: The Future Investors

11 Oct 2024

Small traders are extremely long in US equities.

Source: Guilherme Tavares i3 invest on X

11 Oct 2024

The gold / silver ratio is 83.5.

Since 1968, this ratio has spent only 10% of the time above current levels. Sometimes switching to silver didn't work (look at 1990). But in 1995, 2003, 2008 and 2018, switching paid off.

11 Oct 2024

Time in the market vs. timing the market...

Time in the market can work magic! This is an example showing the median growth of 100k given length of time in the market. Source: Peter Mallouk, Charlie Bilello

11 Oct 2024

#discipline

Source: Reads with Ravi on X

11 Oct 2024

In case you missed it: US September CPI inflation falls to 2.4%, ABOVE expectations of 2.3%.

Core CPI inflation RISES to 3.3%, above expectations of 3.2%. For the first time since March 2023, Core CPI inflation is officially back on the rise. Same story on CPI as previous month: Total is “ok” at +2.4% because energy is collapsing, but core is still +3.3% and Services remain HOT & STICKY at +4.7%. Transport +8.5% Indeed, while September CPI inflation is at 2.4%, inflation is much higher in many basic necessities: 1. Car Insurance Inflation: 16.3% 2. Transportation Inflation: 8.5% 3. Homeowner Inflation: 4.9% 4. Car Repair Inflation: 4.9% 5. Rent Inflation: 4.8% 6. Hospital Services Inflation: 4.5% 7. Food Away From Home Inflation: 3.9% 8. Electricity Inflation: 3.7% Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ, The Kobeissi Letter

11 Oct 2024

JUST IN : UK'S GOVERNMENT IS CONSIDERING RAISING CAPITAL GAINS TAX TO AS HIGH AS 39% PER THE GUARDIAN

Source: @gurgavin

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