What a difference a single debate can make...
Odds of Trump winning Presidential election has surged to 60% (red line below) while odds of Biden winning has collapsed (blue line below) due to the very poor performance of incumbent President during yesterday's evening political debate with Trump. As highlighted by Politico >>> "The alarm bells for Democrats started ringing the second Biden started speaking in a haltingly hoarse voice. Minutes into the debate, he struggled to mount an effective defense of the economy on his watch and flubbed the description of key health initiatives he’s made central to his reelection bid, saying “we finally beat Medicare” and incorrectly stating how much his administration lowered the price of insulin. He talked himself into a corner on Afghanistan, bringing up his administration’s botched withdrawal unprompted. He repeatedly mixed up “billion” and “million,” and found himself stuck for long stretches of the 90-minute debate playing defense. And when he wasn’t speaking, he stood frozen behind his podium, mouth agape, his eyes wide and unblinking for long stretches of time"... Rumors are now running wild on whether the Democrats should replace their candidate in a last minute turnaround
According to BofA fund managers survey, the biggest tail risk is still higher inflation.
WHAT IF the true risk is UNDERESTIMATING the current disinflation trend? PCE numbers today will give us more clue about where inflation is going next? Source: Ryan Detrick
1.285 million barrels of oil were added to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve last week, the largest addition since June 2020
Source: Barchart
India is set to welcome billions of dollars of foreign inflows when JPMorgan adds the country’s sovereign debt to its emerging markets index on Friday
A move that some analysts say will leave it more vulnerable to fickle flows of hot money. The inclusion of India marks the first time the bonds of the world’s fastest-growing large economy have been included in a major benchmark and is the latest move to open up a once closed-off market. It was only in 2020 that India removed foreign ownership restrictions on some rupee-denominated debt. The inclusion of 28 government bonds worth more than $400bn will give India a 10 per cent share of the widely tracked measure, according to JPMorgan. About $11bn has flowed into Indian bonds as investors position themselves ahead of the formal inclusion, according to Goldman Sachs. The bank expects a further $30bn to arrive as the bonds are gradually incorporated into the index over the next 10 months, raising foreign ownership from around 2 per cent to about 5 per cent. Source: FT Link to the article >>>
1.285 million barrels of oil were added to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve last week, the largest addition since June 2020
Source: Barchart
Quote by Steve Jobs
Source: Entrelligence
BREAKING: Walgreens stock, $WBA, crashes nearly 25% after drugstore chain cuts profit guidance due to "challenging" consumer environment.
"We assumed the consumer would get somewhat stronger” but “that is not the case,” Walgreens CEO said. Walgreens cut their earnings per share outlook by 12.5% yesterday. The stock is now down 88% from its all time high and 55% in 2024. Another sign that consumers are struggling? Source: The Kobeissi Letter
France vs German 10 year spread keeps moving even higher...
Source: The Market Ear
