As shown by Jeroen Blokland >>> The Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is down 48% since April 2020.
This means investors have realized a negative return of 15% annually on long-duration bonds over the last four years. Moreover, this 'return' was realized with structurally higher volatility and, on average, a positive correlation with stocks. It also means the market for long-duration bonds has to double(!) to erase losses. Source: Jeroen Blokland
(Bloomberg) - A surprising thing is happening to some women on weight-loss drugs who’ve struggled with fertility issues: They’re getting pregnant...
Source: Bloomberg, Carl Quintanilla
$BABA Alibaba free cash flow vs share price
Source: KoyfinCharts
An electric vehicle car crash?
As shown below, Battery-electric new car registrations (March 2024, yoy) are crashing in most European countries. Source: Michael A.Arouet
How is it possible? Below is the number of initial filings for unemployment insurance.
Five of the last six weeks, the exact same number. Effectively the same number in the last 11 weeks, except for the holiday weeks (President's Day and Easter). As highlighted by Jim Bianco, how is this statistically possible? --- Consider The US is a $28 trillion economy. It has 160 million workers. Initial claims for unemployment insurance are state programs, with 50 state rules, hundreds of offices, and 50 websites to file. Weather, seasonality, holidays, and economic vibrations drive the number of people filing claims from week to week. Yet this measure is so stable that it does not vary by even 1,000 applications a week. Just the number of applications incorrectly filed out every week should cause it to vary more than this...
BREAKING: US oil futures surge above $85/barrel after reports of a retaliatory strike by Israel in Iran.
Iran has just suspended all flights to Tehran, Isfahan and Shiraz. Stock market futures are down nearly 1% on the news. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Is the US stock market becoming THE world stock market?
Source: Sam Ro
Pension Funds are now withdrawing billions of dollars from the stock market and instead allocating to bonds and private markets.
CalPERS, the country's largest public pension fund, is reportedly planning to withdraw $25 billion from stocks soon. Source: Barchart, Reuters
