Financial conditions in the US are tightening as rates rise, equities fall and we see liquidity diminishing.
This setup could be set to continue as long as we see: 1) Signs of inflation remaining sticky or re-accelerating 2) The Fed cautious about the timing of cutting 3) Large deficit spending amid rising rates causing interest rate spend to surge (could hit $1.6T by Dec y/y w/o a rate cut) Source: Markets & Mayhem
The first post-halving block generated 37.626 BTC (worth $2.4M) in fees 1 Bitcoin block gets mined about every 10 minutes.
On average, each of these blocks contains 2,000+ transactions. And whenever a Halving happens, everyone races to get their transactions in the first post-halving block. It’s the crypto equivalent of saying ‘I was there’. Well, check it out. The first block ended up generating $2.4M in fees - a new record. Source: Milk Road
Do you remember 4 years ago ???
Source: CNBC
Book: The Art Of Compounding Quality
"What's left for the quality investor? Lean back and do nothing" "Don't be distracted by short-term disturbances, cherish your companies, and let time, a quality company's best friend, do its work" Source: investmentbooks
Hedge funds increased ETF short positions by largest amount in 20 months according to Goldman Sachs
Source: barchart
An exciting stat from Goldman: Just 10y ago, the collective market cap of the Mag 7 was $1.5tn.
Today, that stands at $13.5tn. Source: GS, HolgerZ
"The stock-bond correlation switch is the ultimate diversification regime shift."
"You don't have as great a need for alternatives when the correlation is negative. Investor search for diversification should be at a heightened level." Source: BofA, Darren
Big Election Year Q1s Dip April-May Before Gains Last 7 Months.
2024 is 3rd best Election Q1 since 1950 tracking. Historically, there is a dip in April-May before gains till year-ned. There was only 2 losses in the last 7 months of election years since 1950 (2000 & 2008) Source: Ryan Detrick, CMT, AlmanacTrader
