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A reality check on Europe's energy shock: the French trade deficit
France's trade deficit in Dec. '22 was the widest in two decades when compared to the same month in previous years, a crude way to adjust for seasonality. Europe's energy shock is large and ongoing. Source: Robin Brooks
US existing home sales have been falling faster today than they did during the Great Financial Crisis
Source: Morgan Stanley
MSCI China relative multiples are the highest since 2011
Either earnings improve for Chinese companies or the MSCI China Index now looks pretty expensive vs rest of world. Source: Citigroup, Sofia Horta e Costa
China Gold Reserves keep growing
China lifts Gold reserves by extending buying to 3rd month. China has joined other nations in building up reserves of bullion. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
The 1-Year US Treasury yield trades at its highest level since August 2007
The 1-Year US Treasury yield has moved up to 4.85%, its highest level since August 2007. A year ago it was at 0.88% and in mid-2021 it hit an all-time low of 0.04%. Sourc: Charlie Bilello
The rise of Tesla
Sales, 10 Yrs Ago: GM: $152 billion; Ford: $134 billion; Tesla: $0.4 billion. Sales Today: GM: $157 billion; Ford: $158 billion; Tesla: $81 billion. Net Income, 10 Yrs Ago: GM: $6.2 billion; Ford: $5.6 billion; Tesla: -$0.4 billion. Net Income Today: GM: $10 billion; Ford -$2 billion; Tesla: $13 billion. Source: Charlie Bilello
FED swaps price in 50bp of rate cuts for second half of 2023
Source: Bloomberg, Alessio Urban
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