The S&P 500 closed above its 200d MA for the 5th time since the start of the 2022 bear market
Source: Yuriy Matso
Only 10% of US equity funds survived and outperformed the S&P 500 since 1992
Source: Lipper, S&P Dow Jones
Auto stocks including Tesla fall after Tesla radically cut prices on its electric vehicles in bid to boost flagging demand.
Tesla dropped prices by nearly 20% in the US on some versions of the Model Y SUV, its top seller. It also reduced base price of Model 3 by about 6%. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
US will hit its debt limit Thursday, start taking steps to avoid default, Yellen warns Congress
Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Commodities are up double digits in the last 3 months
Over the last 3 months, Gold broke out, then silver, copper, and others are already up double digits in the last 3 months. Will Energy & agricultural commodities be the next ones to move? Steep moves in commodity prices often lead to a ripple effect in the market. Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg
Is the Bank of Japan losing control of its bond market?
The Japanese yen soared overnight after Japan's Yomiuri reported that the BoJ is to review the side effects of its massive monetary easing at its policy meeting next week and may take additional steps to correct distortions in the yield curve, i.e there is a chance the BOJ will once again "surprise" the market with yet another Yield Curve Control tweak. JGB 10y has penetrated the 0.50% cap, reaching 0.568%. The USDJPY had tumbled as low as 128.66 from 132 yesterday, before bouncing modestly just above 129. Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
While inflation is cooling down, The Fed might need to keep tightening
While US inflation is materially lower from its peak, the chart below from Trahan Research shows why the Fed's job is probably NOT over. This chart shows the contribution of both Services and Goods inflation. Even if Goods CPI goes to 0% , Services inflation alone would still leave Core inflation above 5%. As long as core inflation stays above 5%, the Fed is unlikely to pivot.
US CPI has moved down from a peak of 9.1% last June to 6.5% in December
What's driving that decline? Lower rates of inflation in New/Used Cars, Gasoline, Apparel, Medical Care, Food at Home, Gas Utilities, and Fuel Oil. Source: Charlie Bilello
