CHINA 10-YEAR YIELD FALLS TO A FRESH RECORD LOW
So, what is the Chinese bond market signaling about the Chinese economy? Source: Bianco research
Russell 2000 Outperformance vs S&P 500 continues.
RTY vs SPX break out is at its widest levels since Feb 2000, > +9% MTD Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
JUST IN 🚨: There is now a 100% chance of a 25 bps interest rate cut by September, according to CME FedWatch
Source: Barchart
Corporate Insiders are dumping shares at the fastest pace in AT LEAST a decade 🚨🚨🚨
Source: Barchart
Is there more drawdown ahead for the S&P500?
Over the last ~100 years, median year has a SPX peak to trough drawdown of 13%. Believe it or not current drawdown has only been 5%... Source: GS
India quickly catches up to China as the world’s largest emerging market.
Indian stocks comprise nearly 20% of the MSCI Emerging Markets index, while China has dropped to a quarter from 40% in 2020. The narrowing gap has become one of the biggest issues for investors in emerging markets this year as they debate whether to put capital into an already red-hot Indian market, or into Chinese stocks that are relatively cheap, but are being hit by an econ slowdown. https://lnkd.in/ddkSqFy5 Source: FT, Charlie Bilello
That was an enormous miss in durable goods, coming in at -6.6% vs a forecast of +0.3%.
We need to transport things in a growing economy, right? "Transportation equipment, down two of the last three months, drove the decrease, $19.6 billion or 20.5 percent to $75.8 billion. Source: Markets & Mayhem
Nasdaq has underperformed Russell 2000 for 11 of the last 12 days, erasing YTD outperformance for the big-tech index
Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
