S&P 500 futures have staged a ~1.5% reversal after the market's reaction to Nvidia, $NVDA, earnings.
Since 3:00 PM ET, the S&P 500 has added $600 BILLION of value and Nvidia is itself is responsible for ~$220 BILLION of the value being added. In other words, more than ONE THIRD of the S&P 500's value added since 3:00 PM ET came from Nvidia. Nvidia is now just ~20% smaller than the entire combined value of Germany's stock market.... Source: The Kobeissi Letter
FOMC Minutes Show 'Most Officials Fear Risk Of Cutting Too Quickly'
The discussion came as policymakers not only decided to leave their key overnight borrowing rate unchanged but also altered the post-meeting statement to indicate that no cuts would be coming until the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee held “greater confidence” that inflation was receding. The meeting summary indicated a general sense of optimism that the Fed’s policy moves had succeeded in lowering the rate of inflation, which in mid-2022 hit its highest level in more than 40 years. However, officials noted that they wanted to see more before starting to ease policy while saying that rate hikes are likely over. Members cited the “risks of moving too quickly” on cuts. Source: CNBC Activate to view larger image,
Nvdia results are out - $NVDA beats in revenue & earnings - the stock is up more than 8% after hours.
"Accelerated computing and generative AI have hit the tipping point. Demand is surging worldwide across companies, industries and nations." – Co-founder & CEO, Jensen Huang Nvidia reported fourth fiscal quarter earnings that beat Wall Street’s forecast for earnings and sales, and said that revenue during the current quarter would be better than expected, even against elevated expectations for massive growth. Revenue +265% *Data Center +409% *Gaming +56% *Professional Vis. +105% *Automotive -4% EBIT +983% *marg. 62% (21) EPS +765% Source: Quartr
US yields surged after terrible 20Y Auction with biggest tail on record.
The high yield of 4.595% was well above last month's 4.423% but worse, it tailed the yields that prevailed when it was issued (4.562%) by a whopping 3.30bps, which was the biggest tail on record for the tenor since the 20Y auction was introduced in May 2020. The bid to cover tumbled to 2.39, down from 2.53, well below the 2.59 six-auction average, and was the lowest since August 2022. The internals were even uglier, with Indirects awarded just 59.08%, lower than last month's 62.16%, sharply lower than recent average of 68.2% and the lowest since May 2021. And with Directs taking down 19.7%, Dealers were left holding 21.2%, the most since May 2021. Overall this was a very ugly auction, perhaps one can attribute it to nerves from today's FOMC Minutes which however should be a non-event as they are already rather dated and do not reflect the latest reflationary spike. In any case, yields promptly spiked with the 10Y rising as high as 4.325% before retracing some of the move, which also sent stocks sliding briefly before recovering. Source: www.zerohedge.com
Fundamental analysis
Source: Compounding Quality
CSI 300 is up some 11% from early Feb lows.
The index is well above the 50 day, and touched the 100 day for the first time since last summer. Source: TME
Bloomberg city tracker European major cities
Berlin’s housing slump is over as shortage lures investors. The prospect of higher rents in the German capital is countering the downward pull of financing costs. Berlin rents jumped 20% YoY in Q4, faster than national average of 7.7%. As a side note, Athens' price jump is quite interesting Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
nvidia $NVDA EPS growth projections (grey) aren't modest...
Source: TME, Bloomberg
