Syz the moment

Since the debt ceiling "crisis" ended in June 2023, total US debt is up nearly $3 trillion. This debt balance is more than the value of the economies of China, Germany, Japan, India and the UK COMBINED. The US is now spending $2 billion PER DAY on interest expense alone. Debt per capita is at a record high of $101,000. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

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Source: Charlie Bilello

This year, the Magnificent7 is up a massive 75% while the remaining 493 companies are up just 12%. Combined, the S&P 500 is up ~25%, more than doubling the S&P 493's total return. In other words, the Magnificent 7 is up 3 TIMES as much as the S&P 500 and ~6 TIMES as much as the S&P 493. Just 7 weeks ago, the S&P 493 was DOWN 2% this year. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

Source: Peter Mallouk

Phase 1: The Yellen Pivot. Early 2023, she decided skewing the Treasury's issuance towards bills. This bought time for risk assets, allowing Fed reserves to rise despite QT Phase 2: The Powell Pivot last week -> His dovish turn should buy more time for risk assets next year. He is literally trying to limit the growing amount of liquidity sucked from the government's ballooning interest-rate bill While this leads to short-term gain, there is a huge risk of long-term pain as these dovish operations have significantly increased long-term inflation risks and the prospect of even higher yields in the near-future. Source: Bloomberg, Macrobond

That compares with a record volume of ~€500bn in 2023 Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

by Brian Feroldi