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4 Jan 2024

The Druckenmiller Recession indicator continues to plummet

Source: Win Smart, TS Lombard

4 Jan 2024

GLOBAL WAGES

Source: Win Smart, Genuine Impact and The Daily Shot

4 Jan 2024

Luxury watch prices in the secondary market have collapsed

In less than 2 years, the price has declined by more than 35% WatchCharts Market Index tracks secondary watch market price trends It consists of 60 watches from the top 10 luxury watch brands, which are sorted and weighted by transaction value The index tracks the price movement of these watches in USD over time And is rebalanced every year on 1st Jan. Source: Game of Trades

4 Jan 2024

The government debt maturity wall

Bloomberg thru Jeroen Bloklan / M_McDonough

4 Jan 2024

MAP OF THE DAY: Sometimes, a picture is worth a thousand words. Container ships heading toward Europe and/or North America, with almost all avoiding the Red Sea (red)

More than two weeks after the launch of US-led 'Prosperity Guardian', the Houthis still rule in the Red Sea. Source: Javier Blas

4 Jan 2024

Remember, nearly all of the S&P 500 ETF's $SPY gains since its inception have come from the day after down days. A good reminder after the two red days we've seen to start the year

Source: Bespoke

4 Jan 2024

A remarkable chart. The sector composition probably does not explain everything

Source: Michel A.Arouet

4 Jan 2024

FED meeting minutes key takeaways:

1) rates likely at or near their peak 2) 2pct inflation target is maintained 3) monetary policy is likely to stay restrictive for some time 4) clear progress has been made on inflation (dixit the Fed) 5) see rate cuts by the end of 2024 FOMC views continue to diverge from market expectations (2x more rate cuts are currently priced vs. Fed guidance) Source: CNBC, The Kobeissi Letter

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