Shares of US firms that miss profit estimates are falling by the most in four years:
Bloomberg Intelligence
The Kobeissi Letter >>> In fiscal year 2023, the US ran a deficit of $1.7 trillion
If you add back the student loan forgiveness program adjustment, the deficit was actually $2 trillion. To put this in perspective, the annual US deficit is roughly equal to total individual income tax collected. It also means that the 2023 deficit is nearly 5 TIMES as large as corporate income taxes. The 2023 deficit as reported is ~25% larger than total Social Security outlays. Net interest was $659 billion and should soon pass the national defense budget. What's the long-term plan here?
Ben Graham's 10 Points that summarize 60 years of Investing experience
Source: MnkeDaniel
Magnificent Seven? How about Magnificent Mondays?
While the S&P 500 is up over 10% YTD, without Mondays it would be fractionally lower. Source: Bespoke
Amazing chart by CrossBorderCapital
Treasuries out, gold in?
The SP500 has now lost $3.5 trillion in value since the Fed removed a recession from their forecast
The Fed marked the exact high in July 2023 with their "no recession" call. Since then, the S&P 500 is down 9% and just hit its lowest level since May 31st. We are also 1% away from entering correction territory just as earnings season begins. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
China’s Nasdaq-Style Index falls to record low:
Star 50 index, which tracks manufacturers, chipmakers & biggest comps on Star Board, falls to lowest since its inception >3yrs ago as investors’ confidence wanes. Set for 6 straight mths of decline. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
As mortgage rates hit 8% for the first time in 23 years, affordability continues to fall off a cliff
The Housing Affordability Index just hit a fresh record low, at ~90. This means that housing affordability is officially down 50% since 2021. Since then peak in 2012, housing affordability is down nearly 70%. Buying a home has become a luxury. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, www.zerohedge.com
