Phil Fisher's advice on when to buy and when to sell, as described in Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits
H/t : Invesquotes via Investment books Dhaval
From October onwards, US consumers face a double whammy: student loans + auto loans...
Suspended Student loan payments helped fuel the auto market over the last several years. Auto loans pass Student loans in consumer debt load for the first time in 13yrs, which means consumers face a double-whammy starting in October w/existing auto payments & resumed student loan obligations. Auto loan delinquencies are on the rise and more consumers could fall behind if unemployment increases. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
In the US, the slow motion bank run continue...
Interest Rates on Deposits, by Bank: 1. Wells Fargo: 0.15% 2. Citibank: 0.05% 3. Chase: 0.01% 4. Bank of America: 0.01% 5. US Bank: 0.01% Rates on Alternatives to Bank Deposits: 1. CDs: 5.0% 2. Money Market: 4.5% 3. Treasury Bonds: 4.0% Deposits continue to flow out of banks at a historic pace with $1 trillion+ withdrawn over the last year. The era of "free" money for large US banks is coming to an end. They must raise interest paid on deposits or capital will continue to leave. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Apollo
From which industries are billionaires coming from? 💰
There are various ways to become wealthy. But finance and investments remain the surest path to becoming a billionaire🤑. Chart by Genuine Impact
Is the German real estate bubble bursting?
The Europace House Price Index for existing homes crashed by 2% in August, and has now lost 16% from the top in Apr2022. Only the index for newly built homes has remained unch, this is due to the low level of new construction activity. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Why German industrial model is at risk in one chart...
Without reliable access to affordable power, Germany fears energy-intensive companies will invest elsewhere, and “we will lose this industrial base,” vice-chancellor Robert Habeck said. Source: Eurostat, Gustavo Philippsen Fuhr
Have you ever heard about mortgages in negative amortization?
As highlighted by The Kobeissi Letter, three of Canada's largest banks are seeing ~20% of their outstanding mortgages in negative amortization. What does this mean? Monthly payments on ~20% of mortgages at BMO, TD, and CIBC are no longer enough to cover interest expense. This means you end up owing more than your original loan amount over time. Typically, variable rate mortgages with fixed payments experience this in a rapidly rising interest rate environment. These homeowners may begin to foreclose over the next few months. This is an important trend worth watching.
Can be the second half of 2007 be a good parallel for today's market?
As highlighted by MacroAlf, back in 2007, the FED kept rates at 5.25% (orange) despite core inflation was trending around 2% (blue) for quarters already. That ''higher for longer'' stubborness kept policy unnecessarily tight - as we figured out in 2008... Source: Alfonso Peccatiello
