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Amazon Web Services launched in 2006.
Sales that year were $21 million. Today, it’s $21 million in LESS THAN TWO HOURS... Source: Jon Erlichman
The tightest labor market in US history continues to loosen with Job
Openings moving down to 8.49 million (lowest since Feb 2021) and the Quits Rate moving down to 2.1% (lowest since Aug 2020). Source: Charlie Bilello
Fed's Powell: Very pleased we haven't seen pain originally projected.
The chart below summarizes it well: despite rates hikes and rates staying higher for longer financial conditions kept easing Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Interest rate futures have been wildly inaccurate over the last 12 months.
In September, just 2 rate cuts were expected by December 2024. In January, 6 rate cuts were expected by December 2024. Now, we will be lucky to get one rate cut over the next year or so. In fact, prediction markets are showing a 40% chance of ZERO rate cuts in 2024. Prediction markets also see an 11% chance of a rate HIKE in 2024 despite Powell saying he thinks it's unlikely. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Kalshi
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