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Alphabet has attracted >$100bn of orders for a bond sale that’s expected to be ~$15bn, BBG reports, citing people with direct knowledge of the matter.
The demand is among the strongest ever seen for a corporate bond offering, showing investor hunger to buy debt tied to the AI boom. Alphabet has also mandated banks for potential Swiss franc and Sterling debt offerings, including a rare 100-year Sterling note. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
The AI action is in Asia
See below chart with SK Hynix, Samsung or Advantest all sky rocketing. Meanwhile, Nvidia $NVDA (below line in yellow) remains stuck Source: LESG, TME
"A pair trade for the AI transition: long API / short slides"
🚨 The "Software is Dead" Narrative is Wrong. You’re Just Looking at the Wrong Software. The market is panicking. The $IGV hashtag#etf is down 30%. The headlines say AI is writing code now, so software companies are toast. 📉 They’re making a massive Category Error. If you're investing without looking at the "plumbing," you're missing the biggest bifurcation of the decade. Here is how the "Singularity" is actually playing out: 1. The Victim: Human-UI SaaS (Type 1) 🖱️ If your software requires a human to stare at a dashboard for 8 hours, you have a target on your back. The Logic: AI agents replace humans. One less Customer Service rep = one less Zendesk seat. One less PM = one less Monday.com seat. The Result: Seat-based SaaS compresses as headcount shrinks. 2. The Winner: Bot-Infrastructure (Type 2) 🤖 AI agents don't have eyes. They use APIs. They don't click; they call. The Logic: One human generates a few clicks an hour. One AI agent generates thousands of API calls per minute. The Winners: The "Tollbooth Operators"—Okta, MongoDB, Snowflake, Datadog. They don't care if the user is a human or a bot; they charge per unit of consumption. Bots consume orders of magnitude more than we do. 🪦 The Real Casualty: The "Body Shops" The IT outsourcing model (Infosys, Wipro, Cognizant) is built on Labor Arbitrage. Hire for $15/hr in Bangalore, bill for $80/hr in NYC. The Problem: AI makes labor arbitrage worthless. You can’t get cheaper than "nearly free." The Proof: India's Big 4 are already cutting thousands of heads. The hiring machine has stopped. 🛑 The Bottom Line: The market is selling "Technology" as a monolith. This is a mistake. AI replaces Road Workers (IT services/Human-UI). AI pays Tolls (Infrastructure/APIs). The Play: Buy the dip in APIs. Short the slides. The infrastructure layer is the only place to hide when the bots take over.
The Chinese leader told his people to hold gold. The people responded. Demand skyrocketed.
Now, the directive has shifted: Get USD off the books. The banks will respond. We aren't just talking about a policy change. We are talking about a fundamental shift in the global monetary order. Why does this matter? Liquidity is shifting: When the world's second-largest economy pivots away from the Dollar, the ripples hit every portfolio. Gold is the anchor: Central banks are returning to "real" assets as a hedge against geopolitical volatility. The Signal: When a superpower tells its financial institutions to de-risk from a specific currency, the "quiet part" is being said out loud. The world is de-dollarizing faster than most people realize. Source: Blomberg, Steno Research
GS: "We forecast 120 IPOs this year and $160 billion in gross IPO proceeds in 2026".
Source: TME
THE MASTER EARNINGS SEASON CALENDAR
Here are the most popular stocks that report earnings this week February 9th - February 13th. Source: Earnings Hub
Massive inflows into Korean stocks have some cross-border ripple effects...
The Korean momentum kamikazes dumped bitcoin, dumped gold, dumped silver, dumped anything that did not have upward momentum and piled into Korean memory stocks at a record pace. Source: BofA, zerohedge
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