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18 Aug 2023

There is bearish divergence spotted between the market (SP500) and % of stocks above their 200-day MA

The last occurrence led to significant downside for equities. Source: Game of Trades

18 Aug 2023

Walmart on Thursday raised its full-year forecast, as the discounter leaned on its low-price reputation to draw grocery customers and drive online spending

The big-box retailer beat Wall Street’s expectations for sales and profits. E-commerce sales for Walmart U.S. also jumped 24%. Walmart said it now expects full fiscal-year consolidated net sales to increase by about 4% to 4.5%. It said adjusted earnings per share for the year will range between $6.36 and $6.46. That compares with its prior guidance for consolidated net sales gains of 3.5% and an adjusted earnings per share range of between $6.10 and $6.20. Source: App Economy Insights, CNBC

18 Aug 2023

The Rise and Fall of WeWork

Source: TVisualCapitalist

17 Aug 2023

Unprecedented times in Argentina

- On Monday, Argentina’s central bank raised interest rates to 118%. - Forex: you now get a record 350 Argentine Pesos for each US Dollar. - Argentina 30-year mortgage is now at a record 82.2%. - For the first time since 1991, their inflation rate is above 100%. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

17 Aug 2023

Looking at the recent sales transactions, house prices have accelerated significantly in the last 4 months to record levels, now growing at almost a 10% annualized rate

As a remainder, shelter costs / rents jave been putting upward pressure on core CPI and are expected to ease. Really? Source: Tavi Costa, Crescat Capital, Bloomberg

17 Aug 2023

Soccerflation...Perks that Neymar Júnior will receive in Saudi Arabia:

• €100M-a-year salary • House with 25 bedrooms • 40x10 meter swimming pool and 3 saunas • 5 full-time staff for his house • Bentley Continental GT • Aston Martin DBX • Lamborghini Huracán • 24-hour driver • all bills for hotels, restaurants and various services during his OFF days will be sent to the club headquarters to be paid • Private plane at his disposal for his travels • €500,000 for each social media post that promotes Saudi Arabia Source: The world of Statistics

17 Aug 2023

An horrible 20-year JGB auction today tailed the most since 1987, showing that investors require a higher yield to buy JGB

Rising JGB yields threaten bonds worldwide, so we see EU and US sovereign yields accelerating their rise this morning. Source: Althea Spinozzi aka "The Bond girl"

17 Aug 2023

A tricky time for US government bonds...

US Treasuries are facing multiple headwinds - economic strength (Atlanta Fed's real-time GDP growth forecast is tracking close to 4% for the third quarter), an uptick in energy prices and FED QT. But another headwind is fading demand stemming from historical buyers of US Treasuries: 1- China US Treasury holdings just hit a 14-year low at less than $850bn 2- Saudi Arabia’s stockpile of US Treasuries fell to the lowest level in more than six year (less than $100B) 3 - As Japanese long-term yields rose (due to a tweak in their #monetarypolicy), the largest foreign holders of US Treasuries, Japanese investors, became less interested in US bonds and asked for a premium. Source cartoon: GISreportonline

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