SMI Index Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern ?
SMI Index is forming an inverse Head and Shoulder pattern (H&S). Potential trend reversal. Keep an eye on 11'172 resistance level. Source : Bloomberg
European Central Bank hikes rates to a record 4% as inflation risks outweigh economic gloom.
- The ECB just raised its key rates again today, by 25bp (main Refi rate at 4.50%, deposit rate at 4.00%) - Concerns around the underlying inflation dynamic appear to have overwhelmed the ongoing negative (and concerning) dynamic in Europe’s economic growth: "inflation continues to decline but is still expected to remain too high for too long. The Governing Council is determined to ensure that inflation returns to its 2% medium-term target in a timely manner. In order to reinforce progress towards its target, the Governing Council today decided to raise the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points." Source: Bloomberg
While Germany is deindustrializing US construction spending on manufacturing is going thru the roof. Viel glück Deutschland...
Source: Michael A. Arouet
While China has been offloading US Treasuries for 10+ years, the rate has accelerated
Both Canada and Mexico also now account for a higher % of US imports than China. These stories belong to the "new normal": the East-West divide, reshoring / nearshoring / friendshoring, etc. Source: Tavi Costa, Bloomberg, The Kobeissi Letter
Despite QT of almost 1T$, Fed net liquidity* actually increased fueling the rally in big tech
Remarkable chart from Steve Donze at Pictet Asset Management thru Michel A.Arouet. *Net liquidity is a term that refers to the amount of cash and credit available for transactions, purchases, or investments. It is calculated by adding up the money supply and the outstanding credit in a given currency or region. Source: Pictet Asset Management, Michel A.Arouet
Visa under selling pressure after testing resistance level
Visa (V US) is under selling pressure after testing resistance level 249-252. Strong volume today (4 million shares in 40 min trading). Source : Bloomberg
EURUSD pair continues a bearish trend after ECB hike
EURUSD stays on a rather bearish EUR bullish USD trend which wasn’t helped by today’s ECB decision to increase rates by another 25bps. Shortly after the ECB’s announcement, US PPI came out slightly higher than expected which led the pair to reach a low of 1.0656 before stabilizing around 1.0675.
Support: 1.0650, 1.0605, 1.0560
Resistance: 1.0720, 1.0770, 1.0810
Source: Bloomberg
Amazon reaching strong resistance level
Amazon (AMZN US) just reached strong resistance zone 144-147. After a 78% rallye since January, will it be able to breakout that level ? Source : Bloomberg
