“Mr. 4MM” buys Bitcoin for approx. $4 million USD, several times a day, regardless of the price
He already bought 2x $4mm today. Source: CC15Capital
Elon Musk continues to roll out his plans to transform X into a financial company within the next 12 months
Time will tell
The US job market is starting to crater...
With consensus expecting only a modest drop from the reported September 9.553 million job openings, what the BLS reported moments ago instead was a stunning collapse of 617K job openings to just 8.733 million, the lowest since March 2021. This was a 6-sigma miss to the consensus estimate of 9.3 million... Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
Is bitcoin the most resilient asset class of all time?
Despite an unprecedented number of setbacks (Collapse of FTX, a $2 trillion bear market, over 500 lawsuits and regulation cases, multiple crypto lender bankruptcies, Binance fined a record $4.3 billion by US regulators, increased calls for regulation around the globe, etc.), Bitcoin prices hit $43,000 for the first time since April 2022, up 180% since November 2022. Bitcoin is now up ~45% in 6 weeks since speculation of Bitcoin ETF approvals began. Over the last year Bitcoin has added a massive $470 BILLION of market cap. The entire crypto market has added $750 billion of market cap since November 2022. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
(Source: Bespoke) As shown in the chart below, the S&P 500 total return is within 1.1% of its prior all-time high from 1/3/22
In addition to nearing its prior highs, the pattern of the S&P 500 looks a lot like a cup and handle which technicians consider to be a bullish formation. Source: J-C Gand
Record Low: Equity/Bonds Volatility Ratio Hits Unprecedented Levels!
The divergence between two widely recognized measures of volatility, the VIX index for Equity and the MOVE index for Rates, continues to be stark. In the U.S., equity volatility has reached new lows for 2023, while volatility in U.S. Treasuries remains persistently high. Calculating the ratio between the VIX and MOVE indexes reveals a significant trend—the lowest point since 1994/1995! Anticipate dynamic shifts in 2024! 📈 #MarketTrends #VolatilityAnalysis #Outlook2024
Last year, BlackRock launched a spot bitcoin private trust for institutional clients in the United States - see below. This PRIVATE trust was launched in 2022 with coinbase as custodian
The move comes at a time when the global cryptocurrency industry has been caught in the crosshairs of the U.S. securities regulator on alleged violations of securities laws. Could it be that BlackRock has been buying Bitcoin throughout the whole bear market using this PRIVATE trust?
Chinese total private sector debt (level and relative to GDP). This helps explain why Moody's downgraded China's credit rating today...
Source: Longview Economics
