Will oil prices react to the Israel-Gaza conflict?
A probability tree by Alexandre Kateb, CFA
Locking in 2.5% real yields which is 0.5% above the economy's potential growth rates, with inflation optionality icing on top, is once in a decade valuation opportunity
-> According to Steve Donzé (Pictet Asset Management). He has a point...
The US government has consistently shown fiscal irresponsibility
Debt-to-GDP is projected to reach 200% by 2050. The government is going to face a major problem with the amount of money they will have to pay in interest. Everybody, except the US government, seems to understand the unsustainability of this path. Source: Game of Trades
US large banks 3Q earnings season so far
Source: App Economy Insights
China shows signs of stabilization after a long period of slowdown and disappoitning data over the spring
China’s Q3 growth exceeds forecast, buoyed by consumer spending and industrial production. China posted 4.9% growth in the July to September quarter from a year earlier, stronger than the median forecast for 4.6%. Quarter on quarter, China’s GDP grew 1.3% in the third quarter, helped by a downward revision for Q2 from +0.8% to 0.5%.
Disney towards the end of the triangle
Disney (DIS US) has now consolidated 30% since March 2021 highs. Volatility is contracting. Keep an eye on these levels. August 2022 downtrend around 88 and March 2020 support at 79. Source : Bloomberg
Ahead of Powell speech tomorrow...
Confidence in the Chair of the Federal Reserve has reached its lowest point in 20 years... By Visual capitalist
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