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1 Sep 2023

The KBW Bank Index fell by 8.8% in August, the weakest bank in the index is Citi with a -13.4% decline

Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

1 Sep 2023

The world's richest universities

💰Of the 25 wealthiest schools worldwide🌍, only 2 are not from the United States. 💰As of 2022, the University of Texas System had an endowment value of $69 B, making it the wealthiest university in the world🤑. Source: Genuine Impact / Chris Quinn

1 Sep 2023

PCE Deflator, the FOMC's favorite inflation number, show a rise as expected with the YoY at 3.3% (from 3%) and the core at 4.2% (from 4.1%)

Jobless claims at 228k (235k expected) showing continued strength ahead of Friday's NFP report Source: Ole S.Hansen

1 Sep 2023

Disinflation pause?

Eurozone inflation remained stuck at 5.3% in Aug, higher than the 5.1% that economists expected. Core inflation, which excl volatile energy, food, alcohol & tobacco prices & closely watched by ECB as measure of underlying inflation, tumbled to 5.3% in Aug from 5.5% in July, matching expectations. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

1 Sep 2023

Pernod Ricard approaching major support level

Pernod Ricard (RI FP) is down 17% since April highs. It's now approaching major support level 174-180. Keep an eye on it. Source : Bloomberg

31 Aug 2023

We are now seeing the widest spread between mortgage rates and 30-year risk-free rates in history

Should we see this as another barometer of credit tightness in the system? Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg

31 Aug 2023

Recent Developments in the AT1/CoCo Bond Market: ZKB Unexpectedly Skips an AT1 Call!

After the Credit Suisse turmoil, the AT1/CoCo bond market is witnessing intriguing dynamics as Zürcher Kantonal Bank (ZKB) takes an unexpected turn by choosing to bypass an AT1 call. In a landscape where banks are carefully navigating refinancing challenges, this move adds a new layer of complexity to the market. ZKB's decision to forego the AT1 call comes in the wake of Banco Santander's similar choice, signaling a trend toward cautious financial strategies in the face of fluctuating market conditions. These recent developments are shedding light on the intricate decision-making processes that banks are employing to balance their financial stability and growth prospects.

31 Aug 2023

Is the US stock market severely mispriced?

Typically, the dividend yield on the S&P 500 is well above the US 30y real yield. That has changed. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

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