Europe has a massive electricity problem...
According to a FT article, thousands of businesses and households are waiting to connect to the Dutch grid, forcing network operators to ration power in an early indicator of what other European countries are likely to suffer as the speed of electrification increases. More than 11,900 businesses are waiting for electricity network connections, according to Netbeheer Nederland, the association of Dutch grid operators. On top of that are public buildings such as hospitals and fire stations as well as thousands of new houses. Dutch officials and companies said lengthy waits for connections were holding up economic growth and could force businesses to rethink their investment plans. Despite efforts to invest in new cables and substations, new connections in some areas of the country will only become available in the mid-2030s, according to network operators. Although the bottlenecks in the Netherlands are particularly acute, analysts say it is a harbinger of what is likely to occur in other EU countries, as the speed of electrification increases to meet the bloc’s ambitious decarbonisation targets.
US tariff revenues hit a new record in June, reaching $26.6bn – up from $22.2bn in May.
Since the fiscal year began in Nov, total customs revenue has climbed to $108bn, w/most of it collected in recent months as Trump’s tariffs take effect. Source: HolgerZ, Yahoo Finance
Wide dispersion among the Mag 7 so far this year
-Nvidia/Meta/Microsoft outperforming -Amazon/Google/Apple/Tesla underperforming Big shift from the previous few years when they all moved in tandem. Source: Charlie Bilello
Treasury Rate Volatility $MOVE falls to lowest level since January 2022
Source: Barchart
Q2 earnings season is starting this week with the banks as usual!
Source: Earnings Whispers
Silver is dirt cheap relative to gold.
Source: GoldSilver HQ on X
The odds of a Fed rate cut by September have fallen to just 60%. A few weeks ago, the odds were 94%
Source: Barchart
Our Global M2 proxy continues to point to supportive liquidity dynamics for risk assets in the weeks ahead, even if the charts suggest a potential pause in the upward trend for the short-run.
➡️ Liquidity continues to be injected, not only in the US (with M2 reaching a new all-time high in May), but also in Europe and China, and the USD weakness is supportive of global liquidity conditions. ➡️ The link between our Global M2 proxy and the Bitcoin, but also the S&P500 and the MSCI World, continues to hold quite well! This is NOT an investment recommendation. Many factors influence the price of assets. Do your own research. Source: Adrien Pichoud
