US housing market activity is rapidly slowing down
In July, the typical home sat on the market for 43 days, the slowest July pace in 10 years. By comparison, it was just 16 days in July 2021. Additionally, pending home sales fell -1.1% MoM, to their lowest since November 2023. Despite this, prices are still rising, with the median home sales price up +1.4% YoY, to a record July high of $443,867. Many homeowners are choosing to rent or delay selling rather than accept lower offers, further limiting supply. The housing market is stalling. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Since the April 8 low, the SP500 has rallied by 30%.
This is powered by a 50% surge in Mag7 stocks, while the rest of the S&P 500 members gained 21%. Source: Augur Infinity on X
So now Europe is supposed to pay for Ukraine ?
Not a big surprise to see EU defense stocks plummeting today... Source: FT
On this day in 2004: Google went public at a valuation of $23 billion.
Today, it’s worth $2.5 trillion. Source: Jon Erlichman @JonErlichman on X
Gold is unlike other commodities – it is not consumed; it is stored.
Nearly all gold ever mined – about 220,000 tonnes – still exists, and this above-ground stock dwarfs annual mine supply. - From Goldman's primer on gold Source: zerohedge
Not much improvement for the commodities-to-dow ratio
Dow Jones hit new all-time high while oil stays in a down trend. Source: Bloomberg, Finding Value Finance on X
⛔ The BLS is set to revise down US job numbers by 550,000-950,000 for 12 months ending March 2025 on September 9, according to Goldman Sachs estimates.
That’d be the biggest 12-month downward revision in 15 YEARS. Total cut over 2 years would reach 1.5M jobs. Source: Goldman Sachs, Global Markets Investor
The cycle of change
Source: Reads with Ravi on X
