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This chart shows how the SP500 has performed since 1980 when the Fed cut rates near all-time highs
On average, the index gained 3.3% over 3 months, 5.5% over 6 months, and 9.8% over the next year with markets higher 100% of the time after 1 year. Since 1980, Fed cuts near highs haven’t stopped bull runs. Source: StockMarket.News, Carson Investment Research
$TLT jumps to highest price since April 📈📈📈 Ready to breakout?
Source: Barchart
Key dates for France sovereign rating
Macron still needs to find a new PM who then needs to form a government who should submit its budget bill to parliament by the first Tuesday of October, which this year is October 7. Good luck... Source: French Debt Agency
Odds of 50bps rate cut just hit 10%
Standard Chartered now predicts the Fed will cut TWICE at September FOMC. Source: zerohedge
As Fed rate cuts odds increase, stocks and bonds continue to be bid together...
Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
⚠️ The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the 2025 preliminary benchmark revision to the Establishment Survey Data on Tuesday, September 9
The preliminary revision will cover the 12-month period through March 2025 before the final benchmark revision is reported within the employment report of February 2026. The chart below puts the revisions in perspective: ➡️ 2024 just delivered the biggest downward benchmark revision since 2008 nearly -800k jobs erased. ➡️ That’s exactly why the BLS revision matters: if 2025 takes another -550k to -950k hit, it won’t just mark back-to-back historic revisions. ➡️ It will prove the labor market was overstated for years, not months. Source: StockMarket.News, zerohedge
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