The ECB shields high debt countries from bond market crises via the combined effect of past interventions and its TPI anti-fragmentation tool.
Underlying assumption is that high debt countries will do what it takes to bring down debt without crises. That assumption is wrong... - Robin Brooks on X
The fourth quarter earnings season is longer than the others because companies need to complete their year-end numbers and get signed off on by the auditors.
Therefore, only half of those S&P 500 $SPY companies expected to report in February have scheduled earnings yet, so look for those right bars to get bigger. That said, we have a pretty good look at the next few weeks. This week will still be mostly about the Financials $XLF, but we’ll begin to get Industrials $XLI reporting too. source : earningswhisper
$NVDA: The Driving Force Behind the S&P 500’s 2024 Rally
NVIDIA’s incredible 170% gain in 2024 has played a pivotal role in the market’s performance, contributing to over 20% of the S&P 500’s return. source : BofA, Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT, MBA
Surprise surprise...
energy has been by far the best-performing sector during the Biden administration. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
An update on Germany snap election:
the conservative support has slipped below 30% ahead of the February election. Friedrich Merz’s center-right CDU/CSU alliance leads with 29% in the latest Insa survey, down one point from last week. The AfD also dropped by one point to 21%, while support for Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD) and the Greens remains steady at 16% and 13%, respectively. 👉 As it stands, a so-called grand coalition between the CDU/CSU and SPD appears to be the most likely outcome Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
A shocking chart
Source: Willem Middelkoop @wmiddelkoop on X
The trend is your friend...
The Nasdaq 100 has closed above its 200-day moving average for 466 consecutive trading days, the 2nd longest uptrend in history. $NDX Source: Charlie Biello
⚠️US money market fund assets jumped to a record of $8.2 TRILLION.
This comes as people expect the Fed to pause rate hikes for a few months. We have to remember, this is not money on the sidelines. Moreover, most of this cash has never been in and never will go to stocks. Last but not least, while the ABSOLUTE number is at record high, the RELATIVE number (cash as a percentage of total assets) is near record low. Source: Global Markets Investor, Goldman Sachs
