According to Goldman, China Secretly Buying Up Massive Amounts Of Gold, 10x More Than Officially
👉According to the Goldman Sachs nowcast of central bank and other institutional gold buying on the London OTC market, October saw central banks buy a whopping 64 tonnes in October (vs. pre-2022 average of 17 tonnes), with China once again the largest buyer adding 55 tonnes, which is striking since the official number reported by the PBOC was one-tenth that, or just 5 tonnes. In other words, China is secretly buying up ~10x more gold than it admits. 👉Commenting on the surge in purchases, the Goldman analyst writes that "surveys and history suggest that EM central banks buy gold as a hedge against financial and geopolitical shocks" and adds that "central bank purchases will remain elevated because fears about geopolitical shocks have structurally risen since the freezing of Russian reserves in 2022, and because relatively low gold shares in EM central banks reserves vs. DMs leaves room for growth." In fact, 81% of the central banks surveyed by the World Gold Council expect global central bank gold holdings to rise over the next 12 months, with none anticipating a decline. 🚨 As shown on the chart below, what is far more striking is the staggering (and growing) divergence between the modest amounts of gold purchases reported by the hashtag#PBOC and the far greater amount China has actually purchased on the London OTC market, in a clear attempt to mask its staggering demand for the precious metal, and be extension, its diversification away from the dollar... Source; www.zerohedge.com
Santa Powell is coming to town.
Last FOMC interest rate decision of 2024 is today at 2PM ET, followed by the usual press conference. A 25bps rate cut looks like a done deal. Key questions:1) Why is he cutting while stocks are ATH and Core CPI above 3% 43 months in a row= 2) Will it be a "hawkish cut" with significant upside revisions to growth and inflation forecasts + downward revision to the dot plot? Merry Christmas Mr Powell Source image: TrendSpider
The stat of the day >>>
Yes, the Fed has already cut near all-time-highs and you know what ❓ The Bulls 🐮 Liked it 👍 The S&P 500 is less than 2% away from all-time highs the day before a Fed decision. Since 1980, there were 20 other times they cut rates within 2% of ATHs. The S&P 500 was higher a year later 20 times 🚀 Source: Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick
Apple now trades at over 41x earnings, its highest P/E ratio since 2007 (first iPhone was released).
When Berkshire Hathaway started buying Apple in 2016 it was trading at less than 10x earnings. Berkshire sold 67% of their stake this year. $AAPL Source: Charlie Bilello
Nvidia's loss is Tesla's gain.
Is Tesla the new Nvidia? $NVDA $TSLA, Source: The Kobeissi Letter
AI is eating software.
Source: Vala Afshar, FRED
"The MSCI US now accounts for a staggering 74% of the market capitalization of the All Country World MSCI."
Source: Yardeni
BREAKING: Softbank CEO Masa Son was reportedly visiting the US yesterday to announce a $100 billion investment with President- elect Trump, per CNBC.
The investment will be focused around building out AI and aims to create 100,000 jobs in the US. SoftBank CEO says his "confidence level" in the US economy has "tremendously increased with [Trump's] victory" - announces $100 BILLION investment. "Because of that - I am committing $100 billion and 100,000 jobs into the United States. This is DOUBLE of last time... because President Trump is a double-down president." Source: Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh
