Beware "no landing" is nothing new
Source: Michel A.Arouet
Bitcoin volatility dips to yearly lows as FOMC meeting looms
Bitcoin ended its fourth week of narrow trading Sunday, sending volatility readings to levels not seen since the year began. The 30-day estimate for the world’s largest digital asset has fallen to just 0.74%, bitcoin’s lowest realized reading since Jan. 16 (71%), data from 99Bitcoins shows.
Bitcoin’s volatility details the measurement of how much its price shifts in a single day. The investment is riskier if the reading is significant, leading to harder-to-predict price swings. T3I’s BitVol Index, used to judge 30-day implied volatility for bitcoin options contracts, has also dipped to its lowest implied reading since its inception more than four years ago, data shows.
CVI’s Crypto Volatility Index, designed to mimic similar functionality to that of the S&P 500’s VIX, has also dipped to its lowest recorded levels. The index takes into account both bitcoin and ether’s (ETH) implied volatility over a 30-day period.
Source: Blockworks
Remember the debt ceiling crisis?
Source: Charlie Bilello
Japanese stocks have an earnings yield that is 612bps above the yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds
Put that in context; in the US, the gap is only 113bps. Little room for error in the US, plenty of room in Japan. This is a margin of safety concept. Source: Jeff Weniger
Investors are currently quite bearish on oil and commodities
The risk of higher energy and higher commodities prices in H2 doesn't seem to be priced by the market. Meanwhile, Crude Oil futures are pushing up against new 3-month highs. Could this be the big surprise of the second part of 2023? Source: All Star Charts
J.P. Morgan Kolanovic & Dubravko -> The recent rise in market cap concentration has been the steepest on record based on >60 years of history
Even narrower leadership than seen during the TMT Bubble. Source: Seth Golden
Most Expensive Euro on Record Has Traders Braced for Declines
As the Nominal effective exchange rate reached an all-time high, a dovish message from ECB this week can add pressure on the euro. Source: Bloomberg
A Pivotal Week for Central Bank's
Source: Bloomberg
