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22 May 2023

Greece’s 10-year government bond yield fell to 3.80%

The rate is down more than 110 basis points since last year’s high, taking down the spread to Italy bonds to -40bps.

Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis’s center-right New Democracy received almost 41% of the vote vs 20% for the leftist Syriza party. Mitsotakis could maybe secure a single-party government in about a month.

Will Greece be back in Investment Grade party?

Source: Bloomberg

22 May 2023

Italy Maintains Investment Grade Status: Moody's Decision Confirmed!

In a crucial development for Italy's economic landscape, Moody's has confirmed the nation's BBB- sovereign debt rating after conducting a comprehensive review of its credit profile. This decision reinforces Italy's investment grade status, providing stability and reassurance to the market. The anticipated outcome is evident in the behavior of the spread between Italian and German 10-year yields, which has remained steady, along with remarkably low volatility in this spread over the past few weeks. Source: Bloomberg

19 May 2023

How long can the Bank of Japan maintain its ultra-accommodating policy?

As Japan's core Consumer Price Index (CPI) reaches an impressive milestone of 4%, the nation finds itself at a pivotal juncture in its inflation landscape. This surge places Japanese inflation well above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target. While the BoJ's specific objective remains the maintenance of stable inflation at around 2%, the question arises: How long can the BoJ sustain its ultra-accommodative policy stance? With Japan's staggering debt-to-GDP ratio surpassing 200%, finding the right balance becomes crucial in addressing the potential challenges of runaway inflation. Source: Bloomberg

19 May 2023

📉 Significant drop in High Yield volatility!

The recent sharp decline in European High Yield volatility highlights the market's complacency towards this fixed income segment. 📊 Examining the 30-day price volatility over the past decade, the High Yield index has reverted to 2021 levels, now standing one standard deviation below the average. 💼 Is the anticipated future recession in Europe already fully priced in on the soft side? Source : Bloomberg, RBC.

17 May 2023

Attractive high quality European corporate bonds?

🌍 European investment grade corporate bonds offer some of the most attractive yields in a decade. 📉 Multiple factors contribute to this level, including the European Central Bank's sudden monetary policy tightening and widening credit spreads resulting from concerns over a deeper recession in Europe and higher default rates. 💼 The recent Credit Suisse event has further increased the European premium, creating compelling opportunities. 📈 Currently, the EUR swap curve (the reference curve for corporate refinancing in EUR) is historically high compared to the German yield curve, due to factors such as the supply shortage and the flight to quality. ❓ Despite the risk of recession in Europe, should we take advantage of the attractive long-term entry points of the European high quality credit segment?

17 May 2023

Communication Services Sector on resistance level 60

Communication Services Sector on resistance level 60 Will Communication Services Sector (XLC US) break resistance level 60 ? Source : Bloomberg

17 May 2023

No More Impairment Charges: FASB Weighs Crypto Accounting Standards

The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) is gathering feedback on long-awaited proposed changes to how companies report crypto holdings. According to the FASB, the existing accounting treatment of crypto as indefinite-lived intangible assets fails to offer investors informative data for decision-making purposes. As a result, companies must evaluate the worth of their crypto on an annual basis and make a downward adjustment if the value falls below the purchase price — commonly reported as impairment charges, such as the ones posted by Tesla and MicroStrategy. Source: blockworks

16 May 2023

Amazon (AMZN) just reached strong resistance level 114.

Can it break ?

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