Syz the moment

🇧🇷 Brazil's Consumer Price Index (CPI) is nearing the end of its normalization process, hitting a low of 4.18% in April, the lowest level since October 2020! 📊 The Banco Central do Brasil (Central Bank of Brazil) took proactive steps by raising its key rates (Selic rate) early on to address inflationary pressures. Their actions have yielded positive results, bringing inflation back in line with Brazil's historical patterns. ⚖️ The potential for rate cuts is now significant, particularly if Lula appoints his preferred candidates, like Gabriel Galípolo, to influential positions within the Brazilian central bank. President Campos Neto is widely respected as one of Latin America's top central bankers. However, his focus on controlling inflation rather than stimulating Brazilian growth, coupled with his association with former President Bolsonaro, may put his position at risk. 🛑 Is Brazil on a similar trajectory as Turkey, where concerns arise over the central bank's alignment with the government? Source: Bloomberg

Swisscom is retesting March breakout at 587 ! This is a major level that failed in 2014, 2019 and 2022. Keep an eye on it. Can it hold ? Source : Bloomberg

Congestion on the Bitcoin network in recent weeks has been driven by the minting and transfer of BRC-20 tokens. Transaction fees on Ethereum over the last four weeks are currently 0.84 standard deviations above the preceding 12m average, whereas transaction fees on Bitcoin are 10.49 standard deviations above the average. That fee discrepancy on a normalized basis could be contributing to the modest BTC outperformance over ETH in recent weeks. Source: Coinbase Research

EUR/USD has resumed its slide early in the American session and is on its way to challenging the 1.0900 figure. Risk aversion leads financial markets, with stocks in sell-off mode, hinting at further US Dollar gains.

Support levels: 1.0890 1.0830 1.0785
Resistance levels: 1.0955 1.1000 1.1050

Source: FxStreet

📈 The Markit CDX North America high yield index has surpassed the 500bps mark for the first time since March. This index serves as a reliable measure for tracking the upper quality of the US high yield market. 💰 While absolute yields may seem appealing, it's important to note that US high yield credit spreads are not cheap and could potentially widen further. This could be influenced by the sharp tightening of bank lending standards, the drop in US PMI/ISM surveys, and the gradual deterioration of the US employment market. 📉 Despite solid fundamentals at the moment, it begs the question: Do the current levels of US high yield credit spreads indicate an imminent rise in defaults or a forthcoming recession? Source : Bloomberg.

Marathon Digital announced on Wednesday that it has received a recent subpoena from the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC), which is linked to an ongoing investigation into the company's data center located in Montana. The investigation focuses on possible breaches of securities laws. This new subpoena comes after Marathon Digital and a few of its executives were issued a related subpoena earlier in the quarter ending on September 30, 2021. The previous subpoena required them to produce records and communications pertaining to the facility located in Hardin, Montana. Source: Blockworks

Source: Jeff Weniger

China’s consumer inflation slowed to the weakest pace in two years in April while producer prices fell further into deflation, fueling debate about whether more policy stimulus is needed. The consumer price index rose 0.1% last month from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said Thursday, reflecting muted domestic demand as well as base effects from last April’s Shanghai lockdown. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, was unchanged at 0.7%. Producer prices fell 3.6% in April as commodity costs softened. The figure was more than March’s drop and deeper than economists had expected. Source: Bloomberg