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It's official: markets are no longer expecting a FED rate cut in March 2024.
There's still a ~42% chance of rate cuts beginning in March, but this is a major shift in expectations. Just two weeks ago, markets saw a 90% chance of rate cuts beginning in March. Odds of rate cuts beginning at next week's Fed meeting are now down to ~2%. We are still seeing ~150 bps of interest rate cuts priced-in to futures. But, Fed pivot hopes are slowly pulling back. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Netflix adds 13.1 million subscribers, tops revenue estimates as membership push gains steam
KEY POINTS -> Netflix added 13.1 million subscribers during the fourth quarter. The company now has 260.8 million paid subscribers. • Subscribers +13M Q/Q to 260M. -> The company also topped Wall Street’s revenue expectations. • Revenue +12.5% Y/Y to $8.8B ($0.1B beat). • Operating margin 17% (+10pp Y/Y). • EPS $2.11 ($0.11 miss). -> Q1 FY24 Guidance: • Revenue +13% Y/Y. • Operating margin 26%. Source: App Economy Insights, CNBC
Tesla is reporting results tonight?
Who wants to play $TSLA earnings call bingo? 😂 Source: Markets & Mayhem
JUST IN: APPLE NOW PLANS CAR FOR 2028 WITH LESS AMBITIOUS AUTONOMY GOALS
Apple $AAPL reportedly now plans to launch its Apple Car in 2028 at the earliest back from 2026 and will now use a Level 2+ autonomous system down from its previously planned Level 4 - Bloomberg. source: Evan @ StockMKTNewz
ASML near all time high
ASML (ASML NA) confirmed once again the bull trend by breaking 700 to the upside. Next level to keep an eye is all time high 777.50. Source : Bloomberg
If we do not have a recession, stocks tend to rally after the Fed cuts
If we do, however, they tend to decline They say the economy isn't the market, but in this example it could have a measurable impact on the outcome Source: Markets & Mayhem
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