Momentum Trading is having the most success in history, even surpassing the Dot Com Bubble
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
2024 looking a LOT different than previous election years.
Will we see a return to the mean? Source: Trend Spider
S&P 500 $SPX outperformed Global Stocks this week by the largest margin in 15 months...
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
Only 30% of the SP500 stocks have outperformed the index year-to-date.
This is slightly higher than the 29% that occurred in 2023. Since 1990, a streak of 2 consecutive years with such a low percentage has happened only during the 2000 Dot-com bubble. By comparison, the historic median is 49% which typically implied healthy market breadth. The S&P 500 has rallied 12% year-to-date largely driven by just a few tech stocks. A few stocks are driving the entire market. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Richard Bernstein Advisors
Inflow mania >>
Rubner: "Global equity funds have seen $190.5 Billion inflows YTD. This is the second largest equity inflows on record (only 2021 saw more inflows). This is +$1.7B worth of equity inflows per day." Source: The Market Ear
The Magnificent 7's share of the SP500 just hit another all-time high of 32%.
This is 12 percentage points higher than at the beginning of 2023. The weight of these 7 stocks in the index has almost DOUBLED in just over 4 years. This comes as the 3 largest stocks, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, are all officially worth over $3 trillion. Meanwhile, the technology sector just hit another all-time high relative to the S&P 500. Tech is becoming even more dominant. Source: Bloomberg, The Kobeissi Letter
Apple $AAPL forms a Golden Cross for the first time since March 2023 🚨
The last Golden Cross sent shares soaring by 25% over the next 4 months! Source: Barchart
Apple $AAPL … stock up ~12.5% in 2-days, the biggest 2-day move in 15+ years (save a 2-day stretch in Mar’20 off the COVID lows) …
over this stretch, Apple has added nearly ~$400bn in mrkt cap .. larger than the current market cap of 480 co’s ..” - GS desk Source: Carl Quintanilla, Bloomberg
