S&P 500 is up 11.6% in the first 98 trading days of 2024, the 19th best start to a year going back to 1928.
$SPX Source: Charlie Bilello
Some great one pager on stocks by The Ray Myers!
📉 $RACE -6% Since earnings 🎯Ferrari Q1 One Pager🧐 by @TheRayMyers 🚨Ferrari pricing power in play🚨 0% Shipment Growth +20% Americas Revenue +13.5% EMEA Revenue +10.9% Total Revenue +19% Net Income +20% FCF €1.58B Revenue €352M Net Income €423M FCF Here is the Ferrari Bull Case in4⃣sentences! 🛍️Lifestyle brand attracts new younger fans, amplifying brand power and customer loyalty! 💰Exclusivity allows for higher prices thus enhancing profitability! 🗺️Geographic expansion to India and the rest of APAC supports a slow volume growth! 🚗Strong brand power will support growth for decades! Would you rather have a Ferrari or $RACE stock? NB: This is NOT an investemnt recommendation
Solar stocks are rallying, with a boost from China.
China's Solar Industry Group calls on members to crack down on low-price competition to stop a price war. Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) jumped almost 9%. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
BREAKING: TANGIBLE SIGN OF US CONSUMER WEAKNESS?
Target stock, $TGT, falls 8% after reporting weaker than expected earnings with a 3% revenue decline due to consumer weakness. Target's CEO said the decline reflects “continued soft trends in discretionary categories.” The company's store traffic fell by 1.9% less quarter and the average amount spent by customer also fell 1.9%. Consumers bought fewer everyday items like groceries along with fewer discretionary goods. Another sign that consumers are struggling. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
A POSITIVE contrarian signal >>>
EQUITY mutual funds are working on their 82nd straight month of OUTFLOWS. Source: Bloomberg, Eric Balchunas
Bears of Wall Street
Source: Bloomberg
Are large cap stocks losing popularity?
The number of large-cap US long-only funds has decreased by ~40% in 10 years, to its lowest level in decades. Since 2013, the number of large cap funds has declined from ~570 to ~340, according to Bank of America. In addition, active mutual funds have been consistently underperforming the market. More than 90% of actively-managed equity funds underperformed their benchmark in over the last 20 years. In 2023 alone, 60% of all active large-cap US equity funds underperformed the S&P 500. Source: Bank of America, The Kobeissi Letter
Not all new highs are the same.
Awesome chart from @sonusvarghese thru Ryan Detrick here. End of March, SPX up 10.2% YTD. Only 3.1% from EPS growth and the rest (7.1%) was from multiple expansion. On 5/15, SPX up 11.1% YTD. Now 5.3% from EPS growth and 6.0% from multiple expansion.
