Current SP500 vs. election seasonality
by Win Smart, CFA
Global equity risk premium are now at the lowest since 2008.
Source: Mike Zaccardi
FT: 'Peter Thiel, Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg are leading a parade of corporate insiders who have sold hundreds of millions of dollars of their companies' shares this quarter
In a signal that recent stock market exuberance could be peaking. https://t.co/lFp5iOD53j Source: FT Activate to view larger image,
Returns on different types of luxury goods have ranged from 8% to 280% over the last 10 years, compared to 158.1% for the S&P 500.
However , only one has outperformed the S&P 500 in terms of 10-year returns: Rare whiskey🥃, boasting an impressive 280% return. Source: Genuine Impact
Small speculators in stock indexes have reached their most bullish net position ever.
Source: WinSmart
Don't be too excited about Fed rate cuts.
Examining Fed rate cycles since 1970s has revealed that investors have more to fear from 1st cut in a cycle than the pause. On average, sp500 is up +5% over 100 days between last Fed tightening and 1st cut. The trough in broader market is -23% over 200 days after 1st cut in a series, SRP has calculated. Source: HolgerZ
Great visual by Quartr ->
Agriculture equipment giant $DE may appear boring at first glance. Under the hood lies a complex and fascinating entity with a rich 187-year history, leveraging cutting-edge chips, sensors, and autonomy technology. $DE has grown its EPS at a 11.7% CAGR, or 38x, since 1990
Tech Stocks are trading at all-time highs relative to the SP500, even surpassing the peak of the Dot Com bubble...
Source: BofA, Bar chart
