Syz the moment

Source: Bloomberg

The number of large-cap US long-only funds has decreased by ~40% in 10 years, to its lowest level in decades. Since 2013, the number of large cap funds has declined from ~570 to ~340, according to Bank of America. In addition, active mutual funds have been consistently underperforming the market. More than 90% of actively-managed equity funds underperformed their benchmark in over the last 20 years. In 2023 alone, 60% of all active large-cap US equity funds underperformed the S&P 500. Source: Bank of America, The Kobeissi Letter

Awesome chart from @sonusvarghese thru Ryan Detrick here. End of March, SPX up 10.2% YTD. Only 3.1% from EPS growth and the rest (7.1%) was from multiple expansion. On 5/15, SPX up 11.1% YTD. Now 5.3% from EPS growth and 6.0% from multiple expansion.

Mike Wilson chief equity strategist of Morgan Stanley has revised his price target of the S&P 500 from 4,500 to 5,400 Notoriously a market bear, he had previously predicted a 15% drop by December for the index. Source: Radar, The Macro Guy, Bloomberg

This means that the S&P 500 has officially added $10 TRILLION in market cap since its October 2023 low. The index is now up 11.5% in 2024 even as a total of four interest rate cuts have been priced-out since January. We are on track to see the most all time highs in a year since 2021. Over the last 12 years, the S&P 500 has hit 370 all-time highs, which is more than any 12-year period in history. $SPX Source: Charlie Bilello, The Kobeissi Letter

Source: Barchart

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In other words, it costs $1,210 to purchase just $1 of earnings generated by $GME. By comparison, the P/E ratio of Nvidia, $NVDA, is 34x. Meanwhile, $GME is up nearly 400% this month hitting its highest levels in over 2 years. Over 175 million $GME shares were traded on Monday, 30 TIMES the 1-year average, according to Bloomberg. Source: The Kobeissi Letter