Yesterday was a big ROTATION day on US equities market with small-caps hugely outperforming large-caps
Indeed, small-cap Russell 2,000 gained 3%+ while the S&P 500 fell on the day. The only other day that happened was back on 10/10/2008... Investors probaby have these 2 charts in mind: 1) The HUGE underperformance of small caps vs large aps over the recent years; 2) History showing that Small caps outperform AFTER the first rate cut. The lower than expected US CPI iunflation number for June acted as a trigger for the rotation with hedge funds being forced to cover their long large / short small par trades. Source: Bloomberg, DB, RBC
It has now been over 220 days without a 5% pullback in the S&P 500, the 3rd longest streak in the last 10 years.
The last time a 5% correction occurred was in the second half of 2023. Overall, over the last 34 years, the longest stretch lasted for ~550 days in 2016-2018. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has skyrocketed by 33% since October and 15% year-to-date in one of its best rallies in years. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Goldman Sachs
That RTY (Russell 2000) / NDX (Nasdaq 100) spread was over 600bps at its peak today.
By the close it was the biggest relative outperformance of the Russell 2000 over Nasdaq 100 since 2002... Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
🚨 🚨 🚨 HUGE SECTOR ROTATION OUT OF TECH AND INTO SMALL CAPS HAPPENING NOW 🚨 🚨 🚨
⬇ Nasdaq 100 $QQQ -1.0% ⬆ Russell 2000 $IWM +3.3% Source: Stocktwits
The 50 largest stocks in the S&P500 have a median return of +13% this year while the 50 smallest stocks in the index are down 12%.
$SPX Source: Charlie Bilello
The S&P 500 climbed Wednesday to a fresh record, breaking above 5,600 for the first time, as a sharp rise in semiconductor stocks led the market higher.
The broad market index jumped 1.02%, closing at 5,633.91, and notching a seventh straight day of gains.
Sector composition of the S&P500 has shifted significantly over time.
energy used to be 26% of the index... Source: Goldman Sachs, Blake B. Millard
The S&P 493 earnings have been flat to down for the past five quarters.
2Q is expected to mark the first growth quarter for the Other 493. Could it lead to a more balanced market? Source: BofA
