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17 Oct 2023

LVMH vs Novo Nordisk gap is getting extreme. Is there cross asset logic here, or is it just hot money switching from one ex hot asset to another "must have" asset?

Source: TME, Refinitiv

17 Oct 2023

Moderna's stock is now down 81% from its peak and below the price it was trading at when the FDA issued an EUA for its Covid-19 vaccine back in December 2020

$MRNA Source: Charlie Bilello

16 Oct 2023

Wondering why high interest rates hasn't hurt sp500 performance so far?

Just have a look at the chart below courtesy of Linas Beliūnas. The S&P 500 heavy weights are full of cash and have been benefiting from the higher yield paid on short-term deposits. E,g Apple is making $1 billion on their cash holdings doing absolutely nothing...

16 Oct 2023

Nobody can predict at the moment how the Middle East situation will unfold, but if history is a guide market impacts of geopolitical scares are usually short lived

Will it be different this time? Source: Michel A.Arouet

16 Oct 2023

The bull-market is one-year old and the leadership has been unusual

• Since 1980, every single end to a bear market and start of a new bull has been accompanied by a broad rally in stocks, with the Equal Weight Index and small-caps stocks outperforming the S&P 500. • This time is different: the S&P 500 is heavily influenced by the 10 largest companies, which have enjoyed outsized returns. The so-called "magnificent seven" (Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA and Tesla) are up 77% over the past 12 months. But the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index, which assigns the same weight to all the stocks that are included, is up a more modest 11% for the same timeframe. Small-cap stocks are up 5%. Source: Edward Jones

16 Oct 2023

Cash + Treasury Bills now account for 15% of BoA's Global Wealth AUM, the highest level since the onset of the pandemic and one of the highest levels since the GFC

This could potentially limit the downside risk if that capital rotates back into stocks. Source: Barchart, BofA

16 Oct 2023

For the first time in the last 5 decades, rising interest rates have failed to cause Stock P/E multiples to contract

Source: Barchart

16 Oct 2023

Two different years

Two different reactions by growth stocks. Source: J-C Parets

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