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CTAs are running equity shorts, global as well as US
Source: TME, GS
We have not seen NASDAQ move lower with $BTC exploding to the upside in a long time
Source: TME, Refinitiv
It’s not a disconnect between macro view and S&P 500, it’s simply Mag7 euphoria driving the divergence
S&P 493 is valued more in line with macro expectations. Source: BofA, Michel A.Arouet
Shares of US firms that miss profit estimates are falling by the most in four years:
Bloomberg Intelligence
The SP500 has now lost $3.5 trillion in value since the Fed removed a recession from their forecast
The Fed marked the exact high in July 2023 with their "no recession" call. Since then, the S&P 500 is down 9% and just hit its lowest level since May 31st. We are also 1% away from entering correction territory just as earnings season begins. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
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