The drawdown for the long-term Treasury ETF $TLT is now more extreme that the S&P’s drawdown during the Dot Com Crash:
Source: Bespoke
Novo Nordisk weight loss drug Ozempic is causing selloff in candy and beer stocks, per Bloomberg.
Walmart said it’s already seeing an impact on shopping demand from people taking Ozempic. That sent shares of food and beverage companies sliding, some to multiyear lows. Source: Bloomberg, TME
A big intra-day reversal yesterday...
The SP500 just made a near 100 point reversal in 2 hours, adding +$660 billion in market cap... After jobs report numbers nearly doubled expectations, we saw a sharp move lower Friday morning. Expectations of a more hawkish Fed grew which pressured equities. But later in teh session, markets started buying the news on hopes of downward revisions and adjustments in the numbers... Source: Barchart, The Kobeissi Letter Activate to view larger image,
You are here...October and November alone have the highest average monthly return relative to any other months of the year
Source: TME, Equity Clock
In case you missed it. Citigroup $C yesterday closed at its lowest price since the onset of Covid...
Source: barchart
BREAKING: 30-Year Treasury Yield hits 5% for the first time in 16 years while the 10-year hits 4.8%
Macro fundamentals and inflation fears are not the only culprit. Indeed, the slide in Treasuries now seems excessive given recent economic data and Federal Reserve policy. This could suggest it’s instead being driven by fears over the swelling US deficit. As show on teh chart below (Bloomber), the supply/demand balance context is clearly not favroable to US Treasuries. The recent move shows rising alarm at what fiscal policymakers are doing. Concerns over U.S. debt levels and large Treasury issuance have prompted investors to demand more compensation for the risk of holding long term bonds, driving long-term yields higher. Source: Bloomberg
The gap between NASDAQ and the US 10 year (inv) remains absolutely massive
Source: TME
EXTREME FEAR ?
-> Stock Market Fear & Greed Index falls to 16, the most fearful its been in the last year. Meanwhile, only 8% of $SPX stocks are currently trading above their respective 50-day moving averages, representing a 2%ile move over the last decade... Source: barchart
