The sp500 P/E ratio used to be tightly correlated to the US 2 year yield (inverted on the chart), i.e the lower the 2 year yield, the higher the P/E ratio and vice versa
Well, this is no longer the case as a giant crocodile jaw has been forming. Which of the 2 will bind firts? Source. Jeroen Blokland, True Insights
India Nifty 50 Index. Big picture, via 5% box size
Source: Mark Ungewitter
The S&P 500 earnings yield minus risk-free cash rate (3-month treasury bill) has dropped to its lowest level (-90 basis points) in 23 years
Source: BofA
91 is the number of trading sessions since at least a 1.5% sell off session in SPX
This length of time without a 1 day equity shock is rare ... has happened ~five times in the last 15 years. Source: Goldman Sachs, TME
The longer term gap between NASDAQ and the US 10 year remains huge
Source: TME, Refiitiv
As Goldman's Brian Garrett noted yesterday, it has been 91 days since the sp500 suffered a 1.5% loss or greater in a day...
That's unusual - it has happened only 5 times in the last 15 years. As we have discussed recently, Sep + Oct are seasonally-volatile months... Source: Goldman Sachs
An important chart
Source: J-C Parets
Technology stocks now reflect a record ~25% of all equity fund assets
Just 8 years ago, technology stocks only reflected just ~9% of all equity fund assets. Meanwhile, 5 stocks currently account for ~70% of the Nasdaq's gain this year. Technology stocks have become the backbone of the stock market. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
