During stagflationary periods, the SP500 index tends to be inversely correlated with inflation
Tavi Costa: "From the late-1960s to the mid-1970s, equity markets declined whenever CPI rates re-accelerated to the upside. The primary driver behind this negative correlation stems from the market's growing concern about the potential for a tighter monetary policy to address the persistent increase in consumer prices". Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg
Short Sellers have lost a combined $175.2 Billion by betting against the market this year
Source: barchart
"Magnificent 7" stocks valuations are NOT cheap. Example: Apple
Apple's P/E Ratio: 30x 10-year average: 20x Apple's EV/EBITDA Ratio: 23x 10-year average: 14x Apple's Price to Sales Ratio: 7.5x 10-year average: 4.6x $AAPL Source: Charlie Bilello
On average, bubbles rise 217% during the 3 years leading up to the peak according to data from Morgan Stanley
Megacap Tech stocks are already up 200% year-to-date. Source: Barchart
SP500 seasonality and 4-year cycle analysis suggests a consolidation before a year-end rally
Source: Nautilus Research
NASDAQ is currently trading right on the 50 day moving average
15200 is a short term level to watch, but the bigger support is at 15k. NASDAQ is now established "well" below the channel. Source: The Market Ear, Refinitiv
VIX seasonality suggest some volatile months ahead for stocks
Vix Seasonality
Saudi Aramco 2Q 2023 profit vs. profits of the Majors
Source: company results
