Syz the moment

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Ireland has experienced unprecedented growth in prosperity in recent years. GDP per capita is now almost $100k, which is more than twice as much as in Germany and three times as much as in Italy. The small country with a population of 5 million has benefited from the large investments made by tech giants, who have settled here b/c of the low tax regime. No other country in Europe has a meaningful budget surplus, can set up 2 sovereign wealth funds, (Future Ireland Fund (FIF) and a smaller Infrastructure, Nature and Climate Fund (INCF) and has a war chest of €2.5bn before 3 important elections. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

The Dow Jones rose to its highest level ever following latest Fed meeting—which left rates unchanged & predicted 3 possible cuts in the coming year—as cheer continues to flood equities markets at year’s end. Breaking its prior ATH of nearly 37,000 set in January 2022 Dow rose >37k. Source: Bloomberg

Markets also see a growing 9% chance of rate cuts beginning as soon as next month. Futures are projecting a total of FIVE rate cuts in 2024. There's a 28% chance of 6 cuts and an 11% chance of 7 cuts in 2024. Meanwhile, the Fed just said they see just 3 rate cuts in 2024. So markets are still "fighting" the Fed. But the Fed is starting to adjust... Source: The Kobeissi Letter

All major regions are on track for earnings declines in 2023, creating easy comparisons for 2024. Source: Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg

Source: Charlie Bilello

Average daily stock options volume this year is 44 million contracts, on track to be the highest in history and more than double what it was 5 years ago. Source: barchart

To see how massive they are, this comparison of their market caps vs. the private tech sector (unicorn valuations) makes it quite clear. Source: CB Insight