Interesting to see how the psychology of the market has been changing lately.
A few weeks ago, strong job reports had a negative effect on stocks. Now it is the other way round. Initial jobless claims reversed their uptrend and stocks seem quite happy with this. Why? Because there is actually a "growth" fear (instead of an "inflation" fear) which means that any decent economic report will be welcome by the market (and any bad one could push stocks lower).
JPMorgan: 75% Of Global Carry Trades Have Been Unwound
(yesterday they said that the unwinding was only half completed...) Source: www.zerohedge.com
The last 10 minutes of trading on Wall Street today...
Source. Markets & Mayhem
In case you missed it...
Crude Oil has fallen to its lowest price since early February. Source: Barchart
Yesterday evening after the close, Super Micro $SMCI has swung nearly $170 in 40 minutes in after hours trading, dropping from $725 to $558.
Super Micro Computer beats on revenues + announced 10:1 stock split (why?) but missed on EPS. CEO: "Supermicro continues to experience record demand of new AI infrastructure..." Source: Ycharts, Beth Kindig
China’s imports grew faster-than-expected in July, while export growth came in below forecasts, according to customs data released Wednesday.
U.S. dollar-denominated imports rose in July by 7.2%, far more than the forecast of 3.5%, according to the poll. China’s imports from the U.S. surged by 24% year-on-year in July, according to CNBC calculations of official data. Source: CNBC
Hedge Funds bought the panic dip yesterday
US stocks saw their largest 1-day net buying in 5 months, according to GS Prime. 8 of 11 sectors were net bought, led by Tech and Defensives. $SPY $QQQ $IWM Source: David Marlin
2 weeks ago, US High Yield credit spreads were nearly at their tightest levels since 2007 (302 bps).
Spreads have since increased 91 bps to their widest levels since Nov 2023 (393 bps). The last 3 recessions all saw spreads move over 1,000 bps at some point. We're not close to pricing in that scenario today. Source: Charlie Bilello
