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How are the 'Magnificent 7' Tech Stocks doing so far this year?
Nvidia Is Up +53.9% $NVDA Meta Is Up +35.9% $META Amazon Is Up +14.9% $AMZN Alphabet Is Up +10.5% $GOOGL Microsoft Is Up +6.1% $MSFT Apple Is Down -14.3% $AAPL Tesla Is Down -40.8% $TSLA $SPY Source: Bloomberg, Jesse Cohen
"Make America Great Again" by Joe Biden
Micron $MU is set to receive over $6 Billion in chip grants from the 🇺🇸 to help pay for domestic factory projects - Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg, Evan
A great chart by HolgerZ ->
Big Tech vs Non-Profitable Tech (long-duration stocks) curve tracks perfectly the US 10y yield rise. It shows very nicely the consequences of the rise in yields for the stock market. Source chart: Bloomberg
Goldman is embracing the rotational trade as well:
"Sell your Tech Stocks and invest elsewhere" says Goldman Sachs
Tech Stocks are trading at all-time highs relative to the SP500, even surpassing the peak of the Dot Com bubble...
Source: BofA, Bar chart
Is the semiconductors trade getting overcrowded?
VanEck Semiconductor ETF $SMH had the largest inflows in the history of the ETF yesterday, according to Goldman. Source: Markets & Mayhem
Apollo just doubled down on their view that we are in a bigger bubble than the 2000 Dot-com bubble.
3 weeks ago, they said the current bubble is "bigger than the 1990s tech bubble." They note that the Forward P/E ratio for the top 10 tech stocks right now is ~40x. Compared to 2000, at the peak of the Dot-com bubble, the Forward P/E on the top 10 tech stocks was ~26x. Now, Apollo says that ~30% of stocks have a P/E ratio of 30x or more. Overall, Apollo says that P/E ratios now are much higher than they were in 2000. What's next for AI hype? Source: The Kobeissi Letter
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