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25 Sep 2023

In case you missed it: now that the Fed's blackout window is over, everyone said the same thing in the days that follow the FOMC meeting: "higher for longer":

*FED'S COLLINS: FURTHER FED HIKES 'CERTAINLY NOT OFF THE TABLE', EXPECT RATES MAY HAVE TO STAY HIGHER FOR LONGER *FED's BOWMAN: MORE RATE HIKES LIKELY NEEDED TO GET INFLATION TO 2%, NEED TO REPEAT MONETARY POLICY ISN'T ON PRESET COURSE *FED'S DALY: I DON'T GET TO A POINT WHERE I'M READY TO DECLARE VICTORY, UNLIKELY INFLATION WILL REACH 2% GOAL IN 2024

22 Sep 2023

Yields pushing higher

US 2Y yields hit their highest since July 2006 US 5Y yields highest since Aug 2007 US 10Y highest since Nov 2007 US 30Y highest since April 2011 Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com

22 Sep 2023

In case you missed it...

US Jobless Claims Fall to 201,000, Lowest Level Since January...There haven't been many times in the last 50+ years that #us initial jobless claims have been lower. Source: Bespoke

21 Sep 2023

S&P 500 Index breaches 4400 level

The SPX Index breaches down its 4'400 Level and testing the 100 days Moving Averaged. Market continues yesterday downtrend after the Fed signaled it will keep rates higher for longer.

21 Sep 2023

Soft landing narrative is not new. It’s quite common before each recession

Source: Michel A. Arouet

20 Sep 2023

FED leaves rates unchanged, signals one more hike this year

The Federal Reserve left its benchmark interest rate unchanged while signaling one more hike this year. FOMC repeated language saying officials will determine the “extent of additional policy firming that may be appropriate.” The FOMC held its target range for the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, while projections showed 12 of 19 officials favored another rate hike in 2023.

20 Sep 2023

Over the last 15 years, the US National Debt has increased at a rate of 8.5% per year versus an increase in economic growth (nominal GDP) of 4.0% per year

Source: Charlie Bilello

20 Sep 2023

United Auto Workers (UAW) threaten to expand strike, according to WSJ

4 days after workers at Ford, Stellantis, and GM went on strike, strikers are threatening to expand. Currently, 13,000 out of 144,000 UAW workers are on strike. A strike by the entire UAW would cost US automakers nearly $600 million PER DAY. This is the first time in history that all 3 US automakers are on strike. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

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