Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

13 Dec 2024

⁉️ WALMART RECESSION SIGNAL IS FLASHING RED BUT CREDIT SPREADS ARE AT THE TIGHTEST. WHO'S RIGHT ?

Walmart, $WMT, share price divided by the S&P Global Luxury Index price jumped to near the highest since the 2008 Financial Crisis. However, US corporate bond spreads stay at historically low levels. Is this indicator still valid? Source: Global Markets Investor

13 Dec 2024

✔️ The move is an early sign that the US president-elect intends to resume the high-level engagement with China's leader that marked his first term.

US president-elect Donald Trump has invited President Xi Jinping to his inauguration in January, in an early sign that he intends to resume the high-level engagement with the Chinese leader that marked his first term. Karoline Leavitt, the incoming White House press secretary, told Fox News on Thursday that Trump wanted to create an “open dialogue” with countries that were American adversaries, not just with allies and partners. “We saw this in his first term. He got a lot of criticism for it, but it led to peace around this world. He is willing to talk to anyone, and he will always put America’s interests first,” said Leavitt. Leavitt said it was “to be determined” if Xi would accept the invitation. The Chinese embassy did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The invitation comes as Beijing is bracing for an escalation in the trade war that Trump launched against China in 2018. The US president-elect has already threatened to impose a 60 per cent tariff on imports from China, which would be a big increase from the levies he imposed on the country’s goods in his first term. Trump will enter office as US-China relations remain close to their worst state since the countries established diplomatic relations in 1979. Source: Financial Times, https://on.ft.com/4ir5yzY

13 Dec 2024

GERMAN ENERGY PRICES ARE EXPLODING

This is not going to help... German power prices SPIKED to the levels seen during the 2022 energy CRISIS. Day-ahead prices for 5pm-6pm skyrocketed to the highest in 20 YEARS. This comes as wind generation plummeted as there has been almost no wind in recent days. Source: Global Markets Investor, Bloomberg

13 Dec 2024

BREAKING: Corporate executives are now selling their stock at record levels, with the ratio of sellers to buyers hitting 6x.

Why are insiders cashing out? Source. The Kobeissi Letter, FT

13 Dec 2024

‼️ US budget deficit hit a GIGANTIC $367 BILLION in November 2024.

This puts the total deficit for the first 2 months of the Fiscal Year 2025 to a TREMENDOUS $624 BILLION, the highest EVER. This has even surpassed the 2020 CRISIS LEVELS. Source: Global Markets Investor, The Daily Shot

13 Dec 2024

The percentage of respondents that expect stock prices to rise over the next 12 months.

The survey began in May 1987. Source: Bianco Research

12 Dec 2024

President Elect Donald Trump will be ringing the opening bell at the NYSE today following TIME Magazine naming him Person of the Year for 2024

Source: Evan

12 Dec 2024

US net interest expense is 15% of tax revenue, it will rise to 25% in 2035 according to the CBO...

It will get there much faster if the Fed starts hiking rates again Source: zerohedge

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks