BREAKING: Prediction markets officially price-in 2 interest rate cuts this year after CPI inflation data.
The odds of no cuts have fallen from 33% to 24% over the last few minutes, according to @Kalshi. Meanwhile, market implied odds of exactly 2 rate cuts have spiked from 21% to 35%. Less than 2 months ago, the base case showed 0 rate cuts in 2024 with odds of rate HIKES spiking. 6 months ago, markets showed a base case of 6 interest rate cuts in 2024. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
The global debt crisis: Total world governments' debt hit a whopping $315 trillion in Q1 2024, a new all time high.
In Q1 alone, total global debt increased by $1.3 trillion. At the same time, emerging markets debt hit $105 trillion, rising by ~$50 trillion in just a decade with the biggest increase in China. Across developed markets, the US and Japan have added the most debt. Currently, the global debt-to-GDP ratio has surged to 333%, just below a record high of 362% in 2021. Debt is becoming the global "solution." Source: The Kobeissi Letter
France 10y risk spread over Germany keeps rising. Jumps to 62bps.
Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
2024 is a year with an extremely busy election agenda. Don't believe in all what they say..
Source image: Asif Majid
Apple $AAPL closed up 7.26% with its market cap increasing by ~$214 Billion today 🍏
Source: Evan
Apple is #2 again with a market cap of $3.17tn after Tuesday's AI rally.
Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
The US is adding almost $100B of deficit PER WEEK
Source: Geiger Capital
🚨WORLD'S LARGEST BANK, ICBC, CALLS ETHEREUM "DIGITAL OIL"
ICBC: “Ethereum has been continuously upgrading its technology in terms of security, scalability and sustainability, providing technical power for the digital future. In addition, the introduction and development of stablecoins provide a bridge for the digital currency market to connect to the real world.” ICBC described Ethereum as the “digital oil.” Being Turing-complete and having its own programming language, Solidity, allows developers to deploy complex smart contracts and dApps. This has made Ethereum the mainstay in inventive new fields such as NFTs and DeFi “and is gradually extending to the physical infrastructure network.” Source: Crypto News Flash thru Mario Nawfal
