Gold volatility is now the global cross-asset volatility outlier (silver too, though that market is essentially broken for now).
Hedging “global” risk via gold volatility at these levels is very unattractive. Source: The Market Ear
FT headline today as S&P 500 hit a new all-time high yesterday
Does it mean that the "sell US assets" narrative is already dead? Source: FT
If you want to understand why silver is hitting $100/oz in 2026, stop looking at the news and start looking at the 1-year silver swap minus US interest rates.
In a "sane" market, this line stays above zero. It’s called Contango. 📈 It means: There’s plenty of silver to go around. No one is panicking. You pay a small premium to hold it later because of storage and insurance costs. But right now? We aren’t in Contango. We aren’t even in "normal" Backwardation. We are in EXTREME BACKWARDATION. 📉🔥 When that line drops below zero, the math flips. The market is effectively saying: “We need your silver so badly that we will literally PAY YOU to sell it to us today and buy it back later.” What does this tell us? The Vaults are Bleeding: LBMA and COMEX inventories are hitting decade lows. Industrial Desperation: AI chip manufacturers and EV giants aren't waiting for "better prices"—they are buying everything that isn't bolted down. The Great Decoupling: The "paper price" on a screen is becoming a fantasy. The price of a real bar in your hand is the only thing that matters. When lease rates for silver stay higher than cash interest rates, you aren't looking at a "bubble." You’re looking at a physical shortage. The shorts are being squeezed. The vaults are being drained. Does it mean the silver rally 🚀 has further to go??? Source: Karel Mercx @KarelMercx Bloomberg
Bitcoin mining hashrate decreased -30% this week as a cold winter storm covered much of the United States.
Mining companies shut down voluntarily through demand-response programs, temporarily powering off machines to reduce electricity use and support the stressed power grids. Source: Documenting ₿itcoin 📄 @DocumentingBTC
January 2017 Silver was trading at $16.50
Source: @realDonaldTrump
Over 80% of $SPX constituents have entered their buyback blackout window, reducing corporate support as we kick off the Q4 earnings season.
Source: Hedgeye
Nancy Pelosi just filed ~$69M worth of new stock trades
Including selling $50M of Apple $AAPL Major sells include: - Sold $50M shares of Apple $AAPL - Sold $5M shares of Nvidia $NVDA - Sold $5M shares of Disney $DIS She bought new call options: - Bought $500K of $GOOGL LEAPS - Bought $500K of Amazon $AMZN LEAPS - Bought $500K of Apple $AAPL LEAPS - Bought $250K of Nvidia $NVDA LEAPS Source: Nancy Pelosi Stock Tracker on X
There's Always a Reason to Sell.
Source: Koyfin @KoyfinCharts
