UNEMPLOYMENT IN GERMANY SPIKED TO THE 2ND-HIGHEST IN 10 YEARS
The number of unemployed people in the world's 3rd largest economy has risen for 22 STRAIGHT MONTH. There are now 2.86 MILLION unemployed people in Germany, the most since the COVID CRISIS. Chart: Global Markets Investor, @AugurInfinity on X
An agreement would mark the most significant de-escalation of the war since Russia invaded Ukraine in early 2022.
Source: FT
⌛ S&P 500 EARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISAPPOINTING⌛
75% of companies beat Wall Street analysts' Q3 earnings expectations, the lowest share since Q4 2022. This is despite huge earnings estimates downgrades that took place in Sep This week will be extremely crucial as 42% firms report. Source. Global Markets Investor, Bloomberg
Google parent Alphabet reported Q3 earnings, which beat on top and bottom lines.
The company’s shares rose 4% on the results. Alphabet’s revenue grew 15% year over year, which is stronger than the same quarter last year. The company reported blow-out cloud revenue at $11.35 billion — up nearly 35% from the $8.41 billion a year ago. The company attributed its strong cloud results to their AI offerings, which includes subscriptions for enterprise customers. $GOOG Alphabet Q3 FY24: • Revenue +15% Y/Y to $88.3B ($2.0B beat). • Operating margin 32% (+4pp Y/Y). • EPS $2.12 ($0.27 beat). Google Cloud: • Revenue +35% Y/Y to $11.4B. • Operating margin 17% (+14pp Y/Y). YouTube ads +12% to $8.9B. Source: App Economy Insights
The other "Trump Trade": $DJT vs. $NYT
Trump Media $DJT $10.5B New York Times $NYT $9.2B Source: Lawrence McDonald, Bloomberg data.
Eric Balchunas on X:
"$IBIT iShares Bitcoin ETF traded $3.3b today, biggest number in 6 months, which is a bit odd because $BTC was up 4% (typically ETF volume spikes in a downturn/crisis). Occasionally though volume can spike if there a FOMO-ing frenzy (a la $ARKK in 2020)". Given the surge in price past few days, his guess is this is latter, which means that inflows could be even bigger this week. Source: Eric Balchunas on X, Bloomberg
Warren Buffett once said: 'My success over 58 years was mainly the result of “about a dozen truly good decisions."
Source: Compounding Quality
🚨 MARKET EUPHORIA IS AN UNDERSTATEMENT🚨
Asset managers' net long positions on the S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq futures are now the second-highest in 15 YEARS. They are now only slightly below the 2021 levels seen before the 2022 bear market. Professionals are all in stocks. Source: Global Markets Investor
