A positive contrarian note on SpaceX and Anthropic Saying they have overvalued seems to be the consensus
A positive contrarian note on SpaceX and Anthropic Saying they have overvalued seems to be the consensus
S&P 500 ex AI vs. S&P 500 5-day change
That is the biggest spread since AI was birthed... Source: zerohedge, Bloomberg
Oil falls. Yields rise. Something has shifted
Oil down 15% in three weeks. The two-year yield up 15bps last week to 4.15% - its highest since early 2025. For the first time in months, US macro is back in the driving seat. Source: Jonny Matthews | SuperMacro
Rotational market lives on. We note that 368 stocks were higher in the S&P 500 yesterday. The most since late April.
Rare to see so many stocks going up with the S&P 500 retreating. Source: Ryan Detrick
From Mag7 to MANGOS
Source: Evan
This chart is comparing how different AI models perform on a set of benchmark tests — mainly around coding, reasoning, and knowledge tasks.
The key takeaway: Claude Mythos 5 / Fable 5 is claiming better performance than GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro on these specific benchmarks. Example: SWE-Bench Pro (agentic coding): Claude: 80.3% GPT-5.5: 58.6% Gemini 3.1 Pro: 54.2% What does that actually mean? “Agentic coding” This measures how well an AI can: understand a software engineering task, navigate codebases, edit files, debug issues, and complete coding workflows autonomously. So higher % = the model solved more real-world coding tasks correctly.
ProShares issued press release indicating it plans to launch 2x leveraged SpaceX ETF on *same day* as IPO.
Source: Nate Geraci
US Inflation just jumped to 4.2% the highest since 2023.
US CPI rose from 3.8% to 4.2% in May, but the increase is mainly driven by higher oil and energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions, not underlying inflation. The key focus is Core CPI, which excludes food and energy and came in lower than expected at 0.2% month-on-month versus 0.3% expected and 0.4% previously, indicating that underlying inflation is slowing faster than anticipated. This shifts the macro outlook for the Fed, as it cannot directly address oil-driven inflation through interest rates. If oil prices fall, inflation could ease and rate cuts may return to the table; if oil rises further, inflation could accelerate and force renewed tightening. Overall, the next move in oil will be decisive for the macro narrative. Source: Bull Theory
